Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2026-11-01
Resolves by: IMF PortWatch
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.54. up 0.28 over the period, from 0.26. Range 0.14 to 0.54. 60 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.54	660	660
0.55	560	1,220
0.56	111	1,331
0.57	20	1,351
0.58	5	1,356
0.74	95	1,451
0.75	32	1,483
0.77	55	1,538
0.84	56	1,594
0.86	357	1,951
0.87	261	2,212
0.88	20	2,232

Spread0.01Mid0.54

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.53	7	7
0.52	30	37
0.51	199	236
0.50	200	436
0.45	20	456
0.42	19	475
0.40	60	535
0.34	34	569
0.32	30	599
0.31	42	641
0.30	185	826
0.18	20	846

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.47	7	7
0.48	30	37
0.49	199	236
0.50	200	436
0.55	20	456
0.58	19	475
0.60	60	535
0.66	34	569
0.68	30	599
0.69	42	641
0.70	185	826
0.82	20	846

Spread0.01Mid0.46

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.46	660	660
0.45	560	1,220
0.44	111	1,331
0.43	20	1,351
0.42	5	1,356
0.26	95	1,451
0.25	32	1,483
0.23	55	1,538
0.16	56	1,594
0.14	357	1,951
0.13	261	2,212
0.12	20	2,232

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
nellojello	Yes	480
sunnynotbunny	Yes	116.13
T22222222222	Yes	20
aljarreau	Yes	18.52
ArmageddonRewardsBilly	Yes	15
0xd0d9…30f2	Yes	5
AJSV	No	214.69
0xa5ef…2966	No	122
pootytherewardfarmer	No	81.5
lplplplplplp	No	60
GuyFromTinder	No	50
SmartBoyBilly	No	34.41
0x4629…f3b1	No	30
0x0e3d…52ab	No	20
EmethN1l2367	No	20
greedcash	No	7.06
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed	No	6.8
Tallguy2527	No	5
WarriorH	No	1.7

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
11:45:35	SELL	Yes	0.53	1	$0.50
10:47:42	BUY	Yes	0.53	12	$6.36
10:29:44	SELL	No	0.46	20	$9.20
10:29:44	BUY	Yes	0.54	20	$10.80
04:40:50	SELL	No	0.45	20	$9.00
04:40:48	SELL	No	0.54	40	$21.60
04:40:48	SELL	No	0.55	40	$22.00
04:35:35	BUY	Yes	0.45	5	$2.25
04:35:35	BUY	Yes	0.45	5	$2.25
04:35:35	BUY	Yes	0.45	5	$2.25
04:35:33	BUY	Yes	0.45	5	$2.25
04:35:33	BUY	Yes	0.45	5	$2.25
03:29:32	BUY	No	0.56	20	$11.20
03:29:30	BUY	No	0.56	20	$11.20
03:29:30	BUY	No	0.56	20	$11.20
03:28:30	BUY	No	0.56	20	$11.20
02:07:33	SELL	No	0.57	53	$30.32
02:07:33	SELL	No	0.58	40	$23.20
01:45:51	SELL	No	0.59	20	$11.80
01:29:09	SELL	Yes	0.37	13	$4.79
01:28:24	BUY	No	0.49	180	$88.20
00:11:59	BUY	No	0.49	8	$3.92
00:11:57	BUY	No	0.49	12	$5.88
23:20:53	BUY	Yes	0.49	20	$9.80
23:19:53	BUY	Yes	0.519999949	7	$3.67