Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?

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Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2026-08-31
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.32. down 0.17 over the period, from 0.49. Range 0.23 to 0.54. 120 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.33	30	30
0.34	494	524
0.35	434	957
0.36	322	1,279
0.37	288	1,567
0.39	120	1,687
0.40	239	1,926
0.41	158	2,083
0.42	306	2,389
0.43	316	2,704
0.44	190	2,894
0.45	300	3,194

Spread0.03Mid0.32

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.30	100	100
0.29	235	335
0.28	39	374
0.27	80	455
0.26	132	587
0.24	100	687
0.23	152	839
0.22	100	939
0.21	100	1,039
0.20	200	1,239
0.12	580	1,818
0.11	1,932	3,750

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.70	100	100
0.71	235	335
0.72	39	374
0.73	80	455
0.74	132	587
0.76	100	687
0.77	152	839
0.78	100	939
0.79	100	1,039
0.80	200	1,239
0.88	580	1,818
0.89	1,932	3,750

Spread0.03Mid0.69

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.67	30	30
0.66	494	524
0.65	434	957
0.64	322	1,279
0.63	288	1,567
0.61	120	1,687
0.60	239	1,926
0.59	158	2,083
0.58	306	2,389
0.57	316	2,704
0.56	190	2,894
0.55	300	3,194

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
BlackJellyfish	Yes	557.76
881112	Yes	547
bbccJ	Yes	311.99
0xc327CcdEAbf1BdBd98722C4C2A360F2C3FDC31f5-1742139313586	Yes	150
SusanWarrenHR	Yes	144.01
0x0799d28c9E9ecfE83e910D5469c86005aE7f725c-1776189623521	Yes	125.7
Te0n2	Yes	100
donthackme	Yes	88.79
fi5h	Yes	53
0x9687…1b7c	Yes	35
AJSV	Yes	34.58
V4grant	Yes	33.33
mamofaker2	Yes	30.09
pmlptest	Yes	20
0x3387…c3f7	Yes	15.63
0xa33b…17d4	Yes	13.06
dixonmias	Yes	10
Elias.Thornwell	Yes	9.11
GiuliaRusso12	Yes	5.56
0xa5ef…2966	No	1,583.5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
21:18:21	BUY	No	0.66	20	$13.43
21:18:20	SELL	Yes	0.34	0	$0.00
21:17:15	BUY	No	0.659999969	30	$19.56
21:17:15	SELL	Yes	0.3448109905	57	$19.70
20:17:20	BUY	No	0.65	10	$6.50
19:16:59	BUY	No	0.65	30	$19.50
19:16:57	BUY	No	0.65	25	$16.19
19:16:56	BUY	No	0.6499999849	10	$6.44
19:16:54	BUY	No	0.65	10	$6.50
18:25:09	BUY	Yes	0.37	9	$3.37
12:41:47	BUY	No	0.65	10	$6.50
12:41:45	BUY	No	0.65	40	$26.00
09:26:26	BUY	No	0.65	40	$26.00
09:26:26	BUY	No	0.65	10	$6.50
09:26:20	BUY	No	0.6499999536	17	$11.21
09:26:20	BUY	No	0.65	8	$5.20
06:19:26	BUY	Yes	0.36	20	$7.20
05:40:23	BUY	Yes	0.3599999208	6	$2.00
04:32:57	BUY	Yes	0.3499999856	35	$12.19
19:26:50	BUY	Yes	0.36	5	$1.80
19:26:48	BUY	Yes	0.36	5	$1.80
19:26:44	BUY	Yes	0.36	5	$1.80
19:26:33	BUY	Yes	0.36	5	$1.80
19:26:29	BUY	Yes	0.36	5	$1.80
19:26:26	BUY	Yes	0.36	5	$1.80