dixonmias
0x3c1eb313a50780f708e9450d4ebcc2ce17d758fe
- Realised P&L
- $-69.99
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 242
- Open portfolio
- $267.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded242
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.33at 0.227Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?
- +$13.40at 0.464Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
- +$13.30at 0.468LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?
- +$11.52at 0.324Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
- +$11.19at 0.475Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 09:03 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September? | BUY | 0.19 | $4.75 |
| 09-09 05:15 | US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | BUY | 0.4099999775 | $4.20 |
| 09-08 16:13 | Will Trump say "Democrat" or "Dumocrat" or "Dumbocrat" 25+ times during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.72 | $3.60 |
| 09-08 05:03 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.421 | $2.10 |
| 09-07 20:44 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 20:39 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | SELL | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 09-05 14:31 | Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-09-05? | BUY | 0.58 | $2.90 |
| 09-05 14:05 | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.69 | $3.45 |
| 09-05 13:50 | Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? | BUY | 0.69 | $3.45 |
| 09-05 13:04 | Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9429999972 | $4.72 |
| 09-05 12:38 | Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 12+ times during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.46 | $2.30 |
| 09-05 12:38 | Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.19 | $3.80 |
| 09-05 12:38 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.71 | $3.55 |
| 09-05 10:55 | Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2026-09-05? | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 09-05 10:37 | Will JD Vance say "Free Speech" or "Freedom of Speech" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.48 | $4.80 |