PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x33878fe42f2bd19f01421d857ff8652bcab9c3f7

Realised P&L
$-1.8k
Volume
$153.9k
Markets traded
267
Open portfolio
$8.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded267
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8020.785$991.01$22.11
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.2580.515$986.60+$491.80
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.6870.745$439.51+$34.11
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? · Yes0.5610.885$411.22+$150.41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · No0.7690.775$390.39+$2.90
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? · No0.8290.960$345.71+$47.13
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? · Yes0.6320.725$306.79+$39.43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · No0.8770.865$288.11$3.95
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? · No0.9160.989$283.73+$20.64
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? · Yes0.6170.625$272.56+$3.35
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? · Yes0.4240.315$208.34$72.11
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8600.855$198.84$1.16
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · Yes0.2830.455$183.14+$69.33
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · No0.6370.645$174.04+$2.06
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · Yes0.7420.785$172.49+$9.49

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 04:40Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?SELL0.88$5.03
08-04 04:20Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?SELL0.88$16.39
08-04 04:20Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?SELL0.88$3.69
08-04 04:17Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?SELL0.92$7.76
08-04 04:17Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?SELL0.88$26.45
08-04 04:05Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?SELL0.92$2.36
08-04 03:56Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?SELL0.88$0.51
08-04 03:47Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?SELL0.88$12.17
08-04 03:16Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?SELL0.88$7.38
08-04 03:15Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?SELL0.88$7.38
08-04 02:16US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.2099999903$16.81
08-04 02:16US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.2378401414$7.44
08-04 02:12Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?SELL0.87$15.29
08-04 02:08Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.7599999936$90.00
08-04 02:01Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?SELL0.85$21.25
Trader 0x3387…c3f7 · PolyBot