0x33878fe42f2bd19f01421d857ff8652bcab9c3f7
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $153.9k
- Markets traded
- 267
- Open portfolio
- $8.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded267
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.318US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$709.87at 0.363Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
- +$354.56at 0.255Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?
- +$269.53at 0.457Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
- +$258.13at 0.453Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 04:40 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $5.03 |
| 08-04 04:20 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $16.39 |
| 08-04 04:20 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $3.69 |
| 08-04 04:17 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $7.76 |
| 08-04 04:17 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $26.45 |
| 08-04 04:05 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $2.36 |
| 08-04 03:56 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $0.51 |
| 08-04 03:47 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $12.17 |
| 08-04 03:16 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $7.38 |
| 08-04 03:15 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $7.38 |
| 08-04 02:16 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999903 | $16.81 |
| 08-04 02:16 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.2378401414 | $7.44 |
| 08-04 02:12 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $15.29 |
| 08-04 02:08 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.7599999936 | $90.00 |
| 08-04 02:01 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $21.25 |