PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xc327CcdEAbf1BdBd98722C4C2A360F2C3FDC31f5-1742139313586

0xc327ccdeabf1bdbd98722c4c2a360f2c3fdc31f5

Realised P&L
$1.5k
Volume
$249.2k
Markets traded
477
Open portfolio
$2.2k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded477
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration53.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? · No0.1840.625$167.89+$118.54
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? · Yes0.3280.515$143.22+$52.01
Will Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026? · No0.2070.195$127.91$7.74
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? · Yes0.6650.810$121.50+$21.75
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? · No0.5900.700$112.00+$17.60
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · No0.5900.865$103.80+$33.00
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · No0.4910.805$91.70+$35.80
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.2420.165$90.91$42.67
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? · No0.5700.715$78.65+$15.95
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $30B by December 31? · Yes0.1610.245$78.40+$26.72
Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026? · No0.2860.615$76.88+$41.13
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · Yes0.2200.205$75.85$5.55
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? · No0.4730.860$64.51+$29.00
Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.6200.529$63.48$10.96
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? · Yes0.3600.525$62.99+$19.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 08:54Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?BUY0.36$43.20
09-16 07:59Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?BUY0.47$14.10
09-15 20:08Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?SELL0.97$10.28
09-15 14:55NATO downs another Russian drone by September 15?BUY0.435$52.20
09-15 14:47NATO downs another Russian drone by September 15?BUY0.76$3.80
09-15 11:38Will Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026?SELL0.20894$18.80
09-15 11:35Will Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026?BUY0.2877076858$34.25
09-15 10:14NATO downs another Russian drone by September 15?BUY0.5595695067$6.24
09-15 10:14NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?BUY0.2926153846$19.02
09-15 10:13NATO downs another Russian drone by September 15?BUY0.5$27.50
09-14 17:46Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?SELL0.65$32.49
09-13 23:07Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?BUY0.22$81.40
09-13 14:22Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?SELL0.15$30.00
09-13 09:44Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?SELL0.0081440922$5.65
09-12 14:39Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31?BUY0.44$70.40