0xc327CcdEAbf1BdBd98722C4C2A360F2C3FDC31f5-1742139313586
0xc327ccdeabf1bdbd98722c4c2a360f2c3fdc31f5
- Realised P&L
- $1.5k
- Volume
- $249.2k
- Markets traded
- 477
- Open portfolio
- $2.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded477
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$677.83at 0.681Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?
- +$424.37at 0.523Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?
- +$375.70at 0.091Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?
- +$349.29at 0.090Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
- +$327.03at 0.115Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 08:54 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | BUY | 0.36 | $43.20 |
| 09-16 07:59 | Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.47 | $14.10 |
| 09-15 20:08 | Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.97 | $10.28 |
| 09-15 14:55 | NATO downs another Russian drone by September 15? | BUY | 0.435 | $52.20 |
| 09-15 14:47 | NATO downs another Russian drone by September 15? | BUY | 0.76 | $3.80 |
| 09-15 11:38 | Will Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.20894 | $18.80 |
| 09-15 11:35 | Will Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.2877076858 | $34.25 |
| 09-15 10:14 | NATO downs another Russian drone by September 15? | BUY | 0.5595695067 | $6.24 |
| 09-15 10:14 | NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30? | BUY | 0.2926153846 | $19.02 |
| 09-15 10:13 | NATO downs another Russian drone by September 15? | BUY | 0.5 | $27.50 |
| 09-14 17:46 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? | SELL | 0.65 | $32.49 |
| 09-13 23:07 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.22 | $81.40 |
| 09-13 14:22 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | SELL | 0.15 | $30.00 |
| 09-13 09:44 | Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.0081440922 | $5.65 |
| 09-12 14:39 | Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31? | BUY | 0.44 | $70.40 |