Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2026-12-31
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.057. Unchanged over the period, from 0.057. Range 0.045 to 0.069. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.067	45	45
0.068	299	344
0.070	258	602
0.071	5	607
0.072	73	680
0.073	165	845
0.074	168	1,013
0.075	525	1,538
0.076	12	1,550
0.077	152	1,702
0.078	12	1,714
0.079	192	1,906

Spread0.021Mid0.057

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.046	15	15
0.045	224	239
0.044	245	484
0.043	64	548
0.036	319	867
0.035	276	1,144
0.021	18	1,162
0.020	100	1,262
0.013	13	1,275
0.012	273	1,548
0.011	502	2,050
0.010	1,696	3,747

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.954	15	15
0.955	224	239
0.956	245	484
0.957	64	548
0.964	319	867
0.965	276	1,144
0.979	18	1,162
0.980	100	1,262
0.987	13	1,275
0.988	273	1,548
0.989	502	2,050
0.990	1,696	3,747

Spread0.021Mid0.944

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.933	45	45
0.932	299	344
0.930	258	602
0.929	5	607
0.928	73	680
0.927	165	845
0.926	168	1,013
0.925	525	1,538
0.924	12	1,550
0.923	152	1,702
0.922	12	1,714
0.921	192	1,906

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
smap	Yes	1,580.06
eNakeVets	Yes	1,147.47
Giannis2026	Yes	918.12
TreepleA	Yes	811.04
studmuffin6969	Yes	730.78
Cold070	Yes	600.65
0xD35694160B7Bc6F734aB2e95072686ACEb1A963d-1770830259364	Yes	532.44
lineth	Yes	407
marlonvb	Yes	360.83
BeefDerky	Yes	312.17
Lawaa	Yes	295
Liam2001	Yes	285.84
0x61A6b23c59Dc8646F42662A206A717ba28c8dE5F-1781352645662	Yes	248.79
TheBigMuscle	Yes	231.86
LatinaConqueror	Yes	200
politicalsavant	Yes	200
0x702226B14B65B1c8d05fF51759e095f09932F64e-1770071899262	Yes	180.02
0x56d804d0c0eA6F58fE53a02601e5f9c2Cdc8EC4D-1769634023719	Yes	178.86
0x3554…f07a	Yes	142.68
thursdays	Yes	132.36

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
04:16:53	SELL	Yes	0.04525	20	$0.91
04:15:27	SELL	Yes	0.0635436359	80	$5.08
17:57:14	SELL	No	0.9289386364	44	$40.87
13:03:20	BUY	Yes	0.0459999665	28	$1.27
06:14:41	SELL	No	0.929	1	$1.12
20:44:15	BUY	Yes	0.0706659647	283	$20.00
11:33:41	BUY	No	0.946954089	211	$200.00
10:05:05	SELL	Yes	0.059	15	$0.87
22:38:18	BUY	Yes	0.072	85	$6.10
22:35:46	SELL	Yes	0.0590621042	246	$14.55
19:01:57	SELL	No	0.928	50	$46.40
19:00:45	SELL	No	0.928	50	$46.40
19:00:36	SELL	No	0.9283366	50	$46.42
19:00:27	BUY	Yes	0.06827313	246	$16.82
17:29:19	SELL	No	0.931	5	$4.66
15:40:33	BUY	Yes	0.044	40	$1.76
15:40:33	BUY	Yes	0.044	16	$0.70
05:17:12	BUY	No	0.94	21	$19.40
19:02:33	SELL	No	0.928	1	$0.98
14:08:43	SELL	Yes	0.06	75	$4.52
13:30:09	SELL	No	0.927	31	$28.95
13:20:21	SELL	No	0.9331634074	37	$34.83
13:15:06	SELL	No	0.937	37	$34.98
13:15:01	BUY	Yes	0.0619911383	75	$4.67
12:03:33	SELL	No	0.939	5	$4.97