Liam2001
0xd6a9d548577095440bd8508c998f65f1b05678eb
- Realised P&L
- $-379.66
- Volume
- $23.3k
- Markets traded
- 180
- Open portfolio
- $32.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded180
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$95.00at 0.050Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
- +$45.00at 0.100Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
- +$42.77at 0.180Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
- +$40.45at 0.110Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 2 Norway?
- +$40.41at 0.110Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Sweden?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 00:38 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.001 | $4.00 |
| 08-01 19:43 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 18:32 | Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | BUY | 0.4768211805 | $15.00 |
| 08-01 17:00 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | SELL | 0.51 | $19.61 |
| 08-01 16:55 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | BUY | 0.5199999938 | $20.00 |
| 08-01 01:14 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.0289999942 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 22:44 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.0536779274 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 22:32 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.0946354561 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 17:05 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.37 | $18.05 |
| 07-31 17:04 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.5199999979 | $30.00 |
| 07-31 15:59 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $27.36 |
| 07-31 02:40 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.4099999947 | $20.00 |
| 07-31 02:39 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.7299999974 | $20.00 |
| 07-31 02:14 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.0389999815 | $2.00 |
| 07-31 02:14 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.015 | $3.00 |