PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Liam2001

0xd6a9d548577095440bd8508c998f65f1b05678eb

Realised P&L
$-379.66
Volume
$23.3k
Markets traded
180
Open portfolio
$32.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded180
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes0.0700.057$16.15$3.85
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? · Yes0.4770.225$7.08$7.92
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes0.1300.085$6.54$3.46
Israel military action against Yemen by July 31? · Yes0.1000.011$1.10$8.90
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes0.0210.003$0.93$7.07
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes0.0390.009$0.44$1.56
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes0.0950.002$0.16$9.84
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes0.0540.001$0.09$9.91
Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 2–6 seconds by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.2700.001$0.02$9.98
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET · Up0.2900.000$0.00$10.00
Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 Ghana? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$5.00
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Canada? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$5.00
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026? · No0.0510.000$0.00$30.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5480.000$0.00$5.00
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Egypt? · Yes0.0460.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 00:38U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.001$4.00
08-01 19:43U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.001$1.00
08-01 18:32Iran full airspace closure by August 31?BUY0.4768211805$15.00
08-01 17:00US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?SELL0.51$19.61
08-01 16:55US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?BUY0.5199999938$20.00
08-01 01:14Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.0289999942$5.00
07-31 22:44Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.0536779274$10.00
07-31 22:32Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.0946354561$10.00
07-31 17:05Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 1?SELL0.37$18.05
07-31 17:04Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 1?BUY0.5199999979$30.00
07-31 15:59Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 31?SELL0.999$27.36
07-31 02:40Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 1?BUY0.4099999947$20.00
07-31 02:39Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 31?BUY0.7299999974$20.00
07-31 02:14Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.0389999815$2.00
07-31 02:14Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.015$3.00