0x61A6b23c59Dc8646F42662A206A717ba28c8dE5F-1781352645662
0x61a6b23c59dc8646f42662a206a717ba28c8de5f
- Realised P&L
- $-115.05
- Volume
- $13.5k
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $453.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.42at 0.100US recession by end of 2026?
- +$6.05at 0.276Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
- +$5.82at 0.060Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
- +$5.79at 0.120Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
- +$5.01at 0.080Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 18:53 | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $0.95 |
| 08-02 16:15 | Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 | SELL | 0.06 | $4.44 |
| 08-02 07:52 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999875 | $10.67 |
| 08-02 00:11 | Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.0180217562 | $4.14 |
| 08-01 10:49 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $11.03 |
| 08-01 00:36 | Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $4.98 |
| 07-31 16:53 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.56 | $9.33 |
| 07-31 12:29 | Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 07-30 07:04 | Kash Patel out by December 31? | BUY | 0.308067356 | $10.68 |
| 07-29 19:49 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31? | BUY | 0.7199999496 | $10.28 |
| 07-29 07:18 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $13.04 |
| 07-29 07:03 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6199999892 | $10.33 |
| 07-29 03:15 | Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $4.25 |
| 07-28 23:02 | Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | SELL | 0.0583624137 | $9.63 |
| 07-28 20:35 | Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | BUY | 0.0792427111 | $13.08 |