PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x61A6b23c59Dc8646F42662A206A717ba28c8dE5F-1781352645662

0x61a6b23c59dc8646f42662a206a717ba28c8de5f

Realised P&L
$-115.05
Volume
$13.5k
Markets traded
84
Open portfolio
$453.41

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded84
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample40 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · Yes0.0430.043$20.43+$0.20
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027? · Yes0.0320.034$20.29+$0.77
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · Yes0.0600.055$20.00$1.82
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.055$20.00$1.82
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0370.044$19.65+$3.14
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1050.095$19.05$1.95
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.0890.075$17.89$3.30
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes0.1290.095$15.30$5.51
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes0.0570.057$14.06$0.11
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.1000.065$13.68$7.37
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? · Yes0.2000.225$12.41+$1.38
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.3100.350$12.05+$1.38
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? · Yes0.1300.135$12.05+$0.45
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.0650.055$11.86$2.14
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes0.0560.045$11.58$2.86

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 18:53Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?SELL0.14$0.95
08-02 16:15Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81SELL0.06$4.44
08-02 07:52Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.3099999875$10.67
08-02 00:11Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?SELL0.0180217562$4.14
08-01 10:49Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?BUY0.2$11.03
08-01 00:36Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.08$4.98
07-31 16:53Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?SELL0.56$9.33
07-31 12:29Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?SELL0.01$0.05
07-30 07:04Kash Patel out by December 31?BUY0.308067356$10.68
07-29 19:49Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?BUY0.7199999496$10.28
07-29 07:18Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.15$13.04
07-29 07:03Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6199999892$10.33
07-29 03:15Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.1$4.25
07-28 23:02Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?SELL0.0583624137$9.63
07-28 20:35Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?BUY0.0792427111$13.08