Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-02-01
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.079. up 0.010 over the period, from 0.069. Range 0.063 to 0.081. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.079	70	70
0.080	41	111
0.081	7	118
0.086	129	247
0.087	166	413
0.088	82	495
0.089	923	1,418
0.090	340	1,758
0.091	200	1,958
0.093	450	2,408
0.094	5	2,413
0.095	139	2,552

Spread0.001Mid0.079

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.078	498	498
0.075	20	518
0.074	52	570
0.071	142	712
0.070	78	790
0.068	1,004	1,794
0.067	300	2,094
0.066	34	2,128
0.058	200	2,328
0.057	28	2,355
0.053	1,080	3,435
0.039	6	3,441

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.922	498	498
0.925	20	518
0.926	52	570
0.929	142	712
0.930	78	790
0.932	1,004	1,794
0.933	300	2,094
0.934	34	2,128
0.942	200	2,328
0.943	28	2,355
0.947	1,080	3,435
0.961	6	3,441

Spread0.001Mid0.921

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.921	70	70
0.920	41	111
0.919	7	118
0.914	129	247
0.913	166	413
0.912	82	495
0.911	923	1,418
0.910	340	1,758
0.909	200	1,958
0.907	450	2,408
0.906	5	2,413
0.905	139	2,552

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
ra1nmak3r	Yes	8,745.4
eNakeVets	Yes	4,295.18
ZePenguin	Yes	942.11
0x39AaEd185b92e99a78249610cc14A589B764583C-1759470981616	Yes	410.63
cry.eth2	Yes	342
SitsToPee	Yes	329.75
fireponbabylon	Yes	301.38
LornaPredicts	Yes	252.85
xtal01	Yes	240.34
e1yx	Yes	114.34
DioS	Yes	106.02
2B9S	Yes	94.47
AJSV	Yes	89.18
0xNgWang	Yes	52.49
itsjustcheddar	Yes	51
sirjhow01	Yes	50
26lkkdasdsa	Yes	37.82
wing1234	Yes	36
thecaricature	Yes	30
Elias.Thornwell	Yes	29.77

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
21:38:09	SELL	Yes	0.079	67	$5.27
10:03:50	BUY	Yes	0.081	21	$1.70
06:49:02	SELL	No	0.922	9	$8.09
06:48:57	BUY	Yes	0.077	30	$2.29
18:19:32	BUY	Yes	0.08	21	$1.68
06:55:23	SELL	No	0.9187037531	45	$41.37
06:54:59	SELL	No	0.918	50	$45.85
06:54:30	SELL	No	0.921	32	$29.01
06:54:09	SELL	No	0.924	32	$29.11
06:53:53	BUY	Yes	0.076	27	$2.06
06:53:53	BUY	Yes	0.076	27	$2.06
06:53:53	BUY	Yes	0.076	27	$2.06
06:53:53	BUY	Yes	0.075	100	$7.50
06:53:53	BUY	Yes	0.07157385	200	$14.31
06:50:47	BUY	Yes	0.066	5	$0.33
06:50:47	BUY	Yes	0.066	5	$0.33
22:54:47	BUY	Yes	0.072	21	$1.51
18:13:06	BUY	Yes	0.071	1	$0.04
18:13:05	SELL	No	0.929	20	$18.58
18:11:24	SELL	No	0.93	20	$18.60
18:10:59	BUY	Yes	0.07	20	$1.40
18:10:57	BUY	Yes	0.069	58	$4.02
16:37:02	BUY	Yes	0.069	37	$2.56
06:10:15	BUY	Yes	0.067	37	$2.50
15:54:26	SELL	Yes	0.066	38	$2.53