ra1nmak3r
0x9d26b0f8df91e96f83e49d80cb659fed939a2a13
- Realised P&L
- $-712.43
- Volume
- $15.3k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $686.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.56at 0.404Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
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- +$17.69at 0.530Ethereum Up or Down on January 20?
- +$17.67at 0.518Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
- +$7.86at 0.560Bitcoin Up or Down on January 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-15 21:33 | Will LeBron James win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP? | BUY | 0.0379349787 | $50.00 |
| 02-15 21:31 | Will the World team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game? | BUY | 0.449999998 | $100.00 |
| 02-15 19:43 | Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP? | BUY | 0.06 | $12.00 |
| 02-15 19:43 | Will Jaylen Brown win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 02-15 19:42 | Will Kevin Durant win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP? | BUY | 0.0699999969 | $20.00 |
| 02-15 19:41 | Will Luka Dončić win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP? | BUY | 0.0199654797 | $10.00 |
| 02-15 19:39 | 2026 NBA All-Star: Player to hit half-court shot? | BUY | 0.3624714248 | $200.00 |
| 02-15 19:39 | Will the World team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game? | BUY | 0.4383112734 | $250.00 |
| 02-12 17:38 | Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? | BUY | 0.2157231122 | $500.00 |
| 02-12 15:39 | Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? | BUY | 0.1989721436 | $500.00 |
| 02-12 15:13 | Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? | BUY | 0.1989594735 | $237.47 |
| 02-12 15:12 | Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? | BUY | 0.1974069376 | $500.00 |
| 02-12 15:05 | Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? | BUY | 0.1858704759 | $35.00 |
| 01-24 22:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 25? | BUY | 0.9319999642 | $10.00 |
| 01-24 22:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 25? | BUY | 0.2699999806 | $10.00 |