PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

xtal01

0xe62282ab6ddec6d26ff2bbc80f8c86eae52cd080

Realised P&L
$5.65
Volume
$556.9k
Markets traded
60
Open portfolio
$342.33

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded60
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.2200.645$221.24+$145.78
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.8300.925$98.97+$10.16
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? · Yes0.1700.079$18.87−$21.96
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House · Yes0.0190.008$2.74−$3.77
2026 Balance of Power: Other · Yes0.0030.002$0.51−$0.51

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-25 07:00Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?BUY0.169886765$40.83
03-12 10:29Nothing Ever Happens: Interest RatesBUY0.03$0.20
03-03 14:52Will Jasmine Crockett win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 0% and 5.00%?BUY0.09$3.69
03-03 14:52Will Jasmine Crockett win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by 5% or more?BUY0.0379007317$1.55
03-03 14:50Will Jasmine Crockett win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 0% and 5.00%?BUY0.087516129$13.56
03-03 14:49Will Jasmine Crockett win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by 5% or more?BUY0.0339216244$5.25
02-24 10:41US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.1799999907$12.76
02-04 18:50Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.83$88.81
12-20 10:47Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2025?BUY0.9399999998$94.44
11-25 13:30Nothing Ever Happens: AI EditionBUY0.3281362269$40.37
11-24 11:25Nothing Ever Happens: AI EditionBUY0.28$21.14
10-19 16:12Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2025?BUY0.73$22.63
10-19 16:11Will Top Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?BUY0.028$0.87
10-19 16:11Will Bilibili Gaming win LoL Worlds 2025?BUY0.063$1.95
10-19 16:11Will Anyone’s Legend win LoL Worlds 2025?BUY0.155$4.80