PolyBot

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Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-21
Resolves by
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.003. down 0.147 over the period, from 0.150. Range 0.003 to 0.240. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.00455
0.006813
0.0071023
0.0082043
0.0133073
0.0142093
0.01716109
0.01957166
0.020225391
0.024381772
0.02621793
0.02761853

Spread0.003Mid0.003

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0016565

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9996565

Spread0.003Mid0.998

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.99655
0.994813
0.9931023
0.9922043
0.9873073
0.9862093
0.98316109
0.98157166
0.980225391
0.976381772
0.97421793
0.97361853

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
balthazarYes900
2B9SYes299.37
KiruaTradingYes290.74
Dr.PNLYes178.99
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Yes53.1
ConsensusOfCredibleReportingYes51.5
AJSVYes47.59
tradetosurvive1Yes40
a5533Yes34
GuyFromTinderYes21.67
bjproloYes12
iiixorYes10.02
pppnnYes7.5
dsfd3Yes5
hexy-fanYes3
Grain-FullYes1
0xa5ef…2966No1,047.22
ZumalaNo563.83
PlasticFleshNo100
NotAnIdiotNo84.31

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
11:48:57SELLNo0.995$4.95
07:34:26BUYNo0.99810$10.00
04:45:24SELLYes0.01100$1.00
04:19:25BUYNo0.9975$4.83
04:16:13BUYNo0.99711$11.00
04:11:39BUYNo0.99720$20.00
04:11:28BUYNo0.99720$20.00
03:19:38BUYNo0.9912$11.88
00:30:07BUYYes0.0617$1.03
00:30:07BUYYes0.065$0.30
12:51:16BUYNo0.97230$223.10
12:43:30SELLNo0.9593808635$5.11
12:40:33BUYNo0.9650$48.00
12:39:43BUYNo0.9464339152201$189.76
11:58:09BUYNo0.95$4.50
10:01:54SELLNo0.878$7.25
09:35:51SELLNo0.8467$55.99
09:33:48SELLYes0.1342$5.41
09:33:37BUYYes0.16467536$5.93
09:30:43BUYNo0.76999996255$4.11
09:30:03BUYNo0.7850$39.00
09:29:45BUYYes0.195$0.95
09:29:43BUYYes0.1335$4.57
09:26:37BUYNo0.940$36.00
09:24:42BUYYes0.12022120742$5.00