PolyBot

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Traders

Zumala

0x82c74aa4afa068f136c39837dfca8fe7af94f1f8

Realised P&L
$-2.0k
Volume
$60.7k
Markets traded
62
Open portfolio
$1.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded62
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample39 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0970.055$738.38$562.54
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1040.055$550.01$486.77
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1530.125$125.00$28.00
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1190.115$117.30$3.90
Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026? · No0.3940.505$68.24+$14.99
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0140.004$65.12$138.94
Will China have an Ebola case in 2026? · No0.8300.880$47.52+$2.72
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.0850.055$33.00$18.00
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver before 2027? · No0.9300.935$22.44+$0.12
Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026? · No0.7500.770$13.86+$0.36
Russia coup attempt in 2026? · Yes0.0900.055$11.00$7.00
Will Canada have an Ebola case in 2026? · Yes0.3100.435$10.44+$3.00
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon before 2027? · No0.8560.908$9.09+$0.53
Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027? · Yes0.0460.032$3.70$1.62
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? · Yes0.0380.041$1.21+$0.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 13:37Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?BUY0.009$25.84
09-09 13:00Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.06$60.00
09-09 12:57Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?BUY0.009$9.00
09-08 07:32Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.016$0.48
09-05 09:47Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.045$1.35
09-05 09:10Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?BUY0.036$1.08
09-04 23:06Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.929$80.82
09-04 22:51Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?BUY0.75$13.50
09-03 22:09Will Canada have an Ebola case in 2026?BUY0.31$7.44
09-03 22:08Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026?BUY0.43$8.17
09-03 21:13Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026?BUY0.41$2.38
09-03 04:19Will Trump pardon Roger Ver before 2027?BUY0.93$22.32
09-03 04:11Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.89$77.43
09-02 05:49Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.47$48.88
09-01 11:20Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?BUY0.014$70.00