PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Grain-Full

0xa2919da289c210a1db9527457115863239476ed6

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$68.1k
Markets traded
2,994
Open portfolio
$1.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,994
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration5.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · Yes0.5000.995$0.99+$0.49
Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · Yes0.1430.005$0.01$0.14
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · Yes0.5000.002$0.00$0.50
Solana Up or Down - September 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET · Up0.2000.000$0.00$4.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET · Up0.8550.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET · Up0.6730.000$0.00$10.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET · Up0.5700.000$0.00$5.70
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET · Down0.5200.000$0.00$10.00
XRP Up or Down - September 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET · Down0.1500.000$0.00$1.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET · Down0.3000.000$0.00$8.43
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET · Up0.8650.000$0.00$2.00
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · Yes0.1430.000$0.00$0.14
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET · Up0.4860.000$0.00$9.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET · Up0.2250.000$0.00$2.25
Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET · Up0.0600.000$0.00$1.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 00:06XRP Up or Down - September 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETSELL0.61$3.05
09-13 00:06XRP Up or Down - September 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETBUY0.74$3.70
09-13 00:01Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETBUY0.82$4.92
09-12 23:57Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETSELL0.58$2.90
09-12 23:57Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETBUY0.26$1.30
09-12 23:57Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETBUY0.67$3.35
09-12 23:57Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETBUY0.78$3.90
09-12 23:52XRP Up or Down - September 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ETBUY0.48$2.40
09-12 23:51XRP Up or Down - September 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ETBUY0.58$2.90
09-12 23:51Solana Up or Down - September 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ETSELL0.38$1.90
09-12 23:51Solana Up or Down - September 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ETBUY0.4$2.00
09-12 23:47Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETBUY0.29$1.45
09-12 23:46Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETBUY0.66$3.30
09-12 23:42Solana Up or Down - September 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ETSELL0.46$2.30
09-12 23:41Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ETBUY0.22$1.10