Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-12
Resolves by: https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.20. down 0.11 over the period, from 0.31. Range 0.20 to 0.34. 155 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.22	26	26
0.23	44	70
0.24	298	368
0.26	195	563
0.27	128	691
0.28	57	748
0.29	10	758
0.30	93	851
0.32	60	911
0.43	70	981
0.44	40	1,021
0.47	70	1,091

Spread0.03Mid0.21

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.19	140	140
0.18	385	525
0.17	80	605
0.16	6	611
0.13	13	623
0.11	13	636
0.09	13	648
0.08	50	698
0.07	84	782
0.05	31	813
0.04	50	863
0.02	100	963

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.81	140	140
0.82	385	525
0.83	80	605
0.84	6	611
0.87	13	623
0.89	13	636
0.91	13	648
0.92	50	698
0.93	84	782
0.95	31	813
0.96	50	863
0.98	100	963

Spread0.03Mid0.80

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.78	26	26
0.77	44	70
0.76	298	368
0.74	195	563
0.73	128	691
0.72	57	748
0.71	10	758
0.70	93	851
0.68	60	911
0.57	70	981
0.56	40	1,021
0.53	70	1,091

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
AJSV	Yes	165.93
NotAnIdiot	Yes	73.83
0xc6Aadc7ADB86Ba2be12A4AAcE9Dd115BFD614949-1767636184293	Yes	33.33
DowJones2	Yes	20.63
youtube-trader	Yes	20
trademaster4000	Yes	20
GuyFromTinder	Yes	5.55
haouibao	Yes	5
ppyiago	Yes	4.9
bechamel	Yes	1.4
KiruaTrading	No	130.55
0xa5ef…2966	No	123.24
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed	No	53.84
buyat89	No	20
cef0b057C63B71b6F29b48299433	No	15.34
jonnyquakes	No	5.55
ogi250	No	2.79

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
19:10:20	BUY	Yes	0.26	6	$1.44
19:10:06	BUY	Yes	0.25	15	$3.77
19:03:09	BUY	No	0.74	54	$39.84
16:02:06	BUY	No	0.72	1	$1.01
16:02:05	BUY	No	0.719999914	3	$2.01
16:02:05	BUY	No	0.72	79	$56.66
16:02:05	SELL	Yes	0.28	21	$5.96
13:50:05	SELL	Yes	0.28	19	$5.21
10:03:51	SELL	No	0.74	5	$3.44
09:44:38	SELL	Yes	0.23	4	$0.82
09:44:06	SELL	No	0.73	5	$3.65
09:44:05	SELL	Yes	0.23	18	$4.08
09:44:03	BUY	No	0.76	18	$13.47
09:44:03	SELL	Yes	0.24	138	$33.05
09:37:05	BUY	Yes	0.27	100	$27.00
09:28:06	SELL	Yes	0.24	382	$91.71
09:23:26	BUY	Yes	0.29	5	$1.45
09:20:38	BUY	No	0.75	5	$3.75
09:20:26	BUY	Yes	0.28	86	$24.00
09:19:56	SELL	Yes	0.25	10	$2.50
09:19:09	BUY	Yes	0.2799999664	4	$1.00
09:19:05	BUY	Yes	0.2799999925	11	$3.00
09:18:15	BUY	Yes	0.29	52	$15.09
09:17:59	BUY	Yes	0.2899999954	48	$13.91
09:17:56	BUY	No	0.84	52	$43.71