jonnyquakes
0x2480d18ea391bda8f9dbb38431fa591517c63c00
- Realised P&L
- $-7.7k
- Volume
- $299.4k
- Markets traded
- 185
- Open portfolio
- $4.41
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded185
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration98.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.480Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
- +$611.94at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
- +$597.19at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
- +$589.47at 0.526Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
- +$520.17at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 00:12 | Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | SELL | 0.46 | $5.11 |
| 10-06 00:09 | Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.67 | $3.72 |
| 10-06 00:09 | Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.51 | $2.83 |
| 10-06 00:09 | Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.51 | $2.83 |
| 09-28 22:17 | Will a 7.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30? | SELL | 0.079494 | $7.95 |
| 09-25 21:31 | Will a 7.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30? | BUY | 0.7357948619 | $76.18 |
| 09-25 21:29 | Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.5599999919 | $25.00 |
| 09-20 09:33 | Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.2495658758 | $9.89 |
| 09-20 09:33 | Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.4199999939 | $15.11 |
| 09-17 14:41 | Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.9341071135 | $113.72 |
| 09-17 14:32 | Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.5 | $25.00 |
| 09-06 04:15 | Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.8545915611 | $150.00 |
| 09-05 17:09 | Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.9525925926 | $128.60 |
| 09-05 14:19 | Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.96 | $28.80 |
| 08-30 09:11 | Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.93455968 | $146.02 |