trademaster4000
0x59369f79bd0c30700a9e9594727d3d51449fc2d6
- Realised P&L
- $-15.5k
- Volume
- $92.0k
- Markets traded
- 114
- Open portfolio
- $298.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-16.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded114
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$66.87at 0.230Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 15+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?
- +$47.44at 0.474Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?
- +$45.28at 0.180Will anyone say "Browser" during the OpenAI livestream on August 7?
- +$32.20at 0.500Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Argentina in July?
- +$25.20at 0.580Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 15:32 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.814 | $20.22 |
| 09-30 15:32 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.153 | $45.90 |
| 08-27 22:31 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.06 | $915.00 |
| 08-27 22:30 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.184 | $928.92 |
| 08-23 17:52 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.779 | $19.35 |
| 08-23 17:51 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.148 | $44.40 |
| 08-01 15:25 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.222394653 | $374.25 |
| 03-09 03:55 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.7425756401 | $5.0k |
| 01-19 14:26 | Miami vs. Indiana | BUY | 0.2699999878 | $11.55 |
| 01-14 23:48 | US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999973 | $40.00 |
| 12-11 17:56 | Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11? | BUY | 0.0699999973 | $23.00 |
| 08-24 01:38 | Dodgers vs. Padres | BUY | 0.2849968777 | $299.06 |
| 08-23 23:41 | Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31? | SELL | 0.016 | $4.53 |
| 08-23 23:41 | Will Anthropic have the top AI model on August 31? | SELL | 0.0018700647 | $5.13 |
| 08-23 23:41 | Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30? | SELL | 0.0139094735 | $4.92 |