PolyBot

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Traders

trademaster4000

0x59369f79bd0c30700a9e9594727d3d51449fc2d6

Realised P&L
$-15.5k
Volume
$92.0k
Markets traded
114
Open portfolio
$298.15

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-16.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded114
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 1? · No0.7471.000$52.17+$13.17
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 1? · Yes0.5880.981$50.66+$20.31
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 1? · No0.2500.290$28.42+$3.92
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 1? · No0.2240.155$24.80−$11.00
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on September 30? · No0.7701.000$19.99+$4.59
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on September 30? · No0.6601.000$19.99+$6.79
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 1? · Yes0.5200.997$19.94+$9.54
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 1? · No0.8100.863$16.20+$0.99
Will the biggest earthquake on October 1, 2026 be under 5.3? · No0.8100.770$15.40−$0.80
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 1? · No0.5800.590$11.59+$0.20
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on October 1? · Yes0.4900.465$9.30−$0.50
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 1? · No0.7400.998$5.85+$1.51
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 2? · No0.4900.425$5.29−$0.81
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 1? · Yes0.4500.525$5.25+$0.75
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 1? · No0.1401.000$5.00+$4.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 15:32Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.814$20.22
09-30 15:32Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.153$45.90
08-27 22:31Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.06$915.00
08-27 22:30Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.184$928.92
08-23 17:52Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.779$19.35
08-23 17:51Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.148$44.40
08-01 15:25Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.222394653$374.25
03-09 03:55Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.7425756401$5.0k
01-19 14:26Miami vs. IndianaBUY0.2699999878$11.55
01-14 23:48US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?BUY0.1399999973$40.00
12-11 17:56Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?BUY0.0699999973$23.00
08-24 01:38Dodgers vs. PadresBUY0.2849968777$299.06
08-23 23:41Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?SELL0.016$4.53
08-23 23:41Will Anthropic have the top AI model on August 31?SELL0.0018700647$5.13
08-23 23:41Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?SELL0.0139094735$4.92