PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xc6Aadc7ADB86Ba2be12A4AAcE9Dd115BFD614949-1767636184293

0xc6aadc7adb86ba2be12a4aace9dd115bfd614949

Realised P&L
$-957.13
Volume
$198.6k
Markets traded
643
Open portfolio
$199.68

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded643
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration54.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration76.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0160.013$151.99−$25.62
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0400.018$11.92−$15.08
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House · Yes0.0130.005$6.45−$8.55
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0170.011$5.78−$2.72
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.2000.115$5.75−$4.25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1600.175$5.51+$0.47
James Norton announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.0060.006$4.73−$0.27
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.1710.085$3.54−$3.57
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.0700.035$2.46−$2.54
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0150.004$1.51−$3.49
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0160.003$0.03−$0.18
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET · Up0.0300.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET · Up0.0800.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET · Up0.1600.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET · Down0.1810.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 19:22Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on November 1?BUY0.0699999965$1.00
10-31 19:22Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.17$1.02
10-31 19:21Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 1?BUY0.0659999963$1.00
10-31 19:16Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETBUY0.1399999832$1.00
10-31 19:11Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETBUY0.4$1.00
10-31 16:45Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETBUY0.469999906$1.00
10-30 21:01Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETBUY0.04$1.00
10-30 20:48Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 31?BUY0.1359999848$1.00
10-30 20:47Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 31?BUY0.0258706462$1.00
10-30 20:47Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on October 31?BUY0.0839999993$1.00
10-30 17:15Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETBUY0.5$1.00
10-30 17:12Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETSELL0.59$1.96
10-30 17:12Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETBUY0.29999994$1.00
10-30 16:09XRP Up or Down - October 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETSELL0.99$1.98
10-30 16:09XRP Up or Down - October 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETBUY0.5$1.00