0xc6Aadc7ADB86Ba2be12A4AAcE9Dd115BFD614949-1767636184293
0xc6aadc7adb86ba2be12a4aace9dd115bfd614949
- Realised P&L
- $-957.13
- Volume
- $198.6k
- Markets traded
- 643
- Open portfolio
- $199.68
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded643
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$200.80at 0.283US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$125.00at 0.385Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$119.48at 0.067Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 19?
- +$64.00at 0.396Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
- +$54.96at 0.053Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 19:22 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on November 1? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 19:22 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.17 | $1.02 |
| 10-31 19:21 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 1? | BUY | 0.0659999963 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 19:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | BUY | 0.1399999832 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 19:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 16:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 21:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 20:48 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 31? | BUY | 0.1359999848 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 20:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 31? | BUY | 0.0258706462 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 20:47 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on October 31? | BUY | 0.0839999993 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 17:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 17:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | SELL | 0.59 | $1.96 |
| 10-30 17:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 16:09 | XRP Up or Down - October 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $1.98 |
| 10-30 16:09 | XRP Up or Down - October 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |