Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2027-01-01
Rewards: 0 min size · 0¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.033. down 0.017 over the period, from 0.049. Range 0.033 to 0.057. 149 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.036	7	7
0.037	983	990
0.068	50	1,040
0.069	81	1,121
0.070	30	1,151
0.078	50	1,201
0.079	100	1,301
0.080	200	1,501
0.169	100	1,601
0.193	50	1,651
0.304	200	1,851
0.350	10	1,861

Spread0.007Mid0.033

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.029	5	5
0.028	15	20
0.027	67	87
0.024	10	97
0.023	20	117
0.007	7	125
0.006	37	162
0.004	123	285
0.003	911	1,196
0.002	8,103	9,300
0.001	14,797	24,097

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.971	5	5
0.972	15	20
0.973	67	87
0.976	10	97
0.977	20	117
0.993	7	125
0.994	37	162
0.996	123	285
0.997	911	1,196
0.998	8,103	9,300
0.999	14,797	24,097

Spread0.007Mid0.968

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.964	7	7
0.963	983	990
0.932	50	1,040
0.931	81	1,121
0.930	30	1,151
0.922	50	1,201
0.921	100	1,301
0.920	200	1,501
0.831	100	1,601
0.807	50	1,651
0.696	200	1,851
0.650	10	1,861

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
lacuna-m1	Yes	1,000
0x278f442B68B06e99461C123139d3233265e910b8-1774890445809	Yes	750
Nadmi	Yes	400
thecaricature	Yes	300
Serega	Yes	300
chemp1mln	Yes	240
jojothevampire	Yes	230.77
jutneqewj	Yes	160
ikerv	Yes	131.09
Oleg1970	Yes	125
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	124.97
liobello	Yes	110.09
0xe0111c932dDF1C517B31E8CF14Ea8aa534C19e82-1777333572129	Yes	107.14
Danya.Savin	Yes	100
mocamoca	Yes	50
0xeE9A2eb9042Ff344680262c700A590E4BEEc1Db8-1775580681143	Yes	46.15
0x3B58f737012CC9Cc650DB57F82d65f3d88F72cC8-1768071303118	Yes	42.86
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	42
Lavincey	Yes	40
Mr.Burns	Yes	34.42

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
03:08:39	BUY	No	0.9709998701	5	$4.86
03:08:28	BUY	No	0.965	5	$4.83
02:31:33	BUY	No	0.963	37	$35.48
20:03:37	BUY	Yes	0.0652241667	300	$19.57
12:54:33	SELL	No	0.9418103643	44	$41.62
08:26:23	SELL	Yes	0.037810081	56	$2.10
08:24:32	SELL	No	0.938	33	$30.64
08:24:20	SELL	Yes	0.0500141512	2,120	$106.03
11:18:48	SELL	No	0.9388571429	35	$32.86
07:44:47	SELL	Yes	0.0500826446	363	$18.18
07:43:22	SELL	Yes	0.05	648	$32.40
07:41:49	SELL	Yes	0.05	668	$33.40
07:40:20	SELL	Yes	0.05	660	$33.00
11:04:44	SELL	No	0.95	311	$295.45
09:38:21	SELL	No	0.95	268	$254.60
09:37:35	SELL	No	0.95	355	$337.25
09:32:59	SELL	No	0.95	322	$305.90
09:30:06	SELL	No	0.95	351	$333.45
09:28:59	SELL	No	0.95	300	$285.00
09:27:12	SELL	No	0.95	192	$182.40
09:26:45	SELL	No	0.95	206	$195.70
09:26:15	SELL	No	0.95	200	$190.00
09:18:48	SELL	No	0.95	303	$287.85
09:11:03	SELL	No	0.95	300	$285.00
08:51:44	SELL	No	0.95	170	$161.50