Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2027-01-01
Rewards: 0 min size · 0¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.054. down 0.003 over the period, from 0.057. Range 0.054 to 0.064. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.066	7	7
0.067	61	67
0.068	55	122
0.069	150	272
0.070	240	512
0.071	62	574
0.080	456	1,030
0.100	22	1,052
0.399	5	1,057
0.400	400	1,457
0.470	100	1,557
0.500	200	1,757

Spread0.024Mid0.054

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.042	30	30
0.041	58	88
0.033	31	119
0.032	10	129
0.031	9	138
0.025	11	149
0.024	22	171
0.023	20	191
0.015	12	203
0.014	13	216
0.013	6	222
0.012	200	422

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.958	30	30
0.959	58	88
0.967	31	119
0.968	10	129
0.969	9	138
0.975	11	149
0.976	22	171
0.977	20	191
0.985	12	203
0.986	13	216
0.987	6	222
0.988	200	422

Spread0.024Mid0.946

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.934	7	7
0.933	61	67
0.932	55	122
0.931	150	272
0.930	240	512
0.929	62	574
0.920	456	1,030
0.900	22	1,052
0.601	5	1,057
0.600	400	1,457
0.530	100	1,557
0.500	200	1,757

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
asdwwwdsf	Yes	4,195
Liamyy	Yes	2,339
Avaghghgv	Yes	2,175.52
0x278f442B68B06e99461C123139d3233265e910b8-1774890445809	Yes	750
fdger456	Yes	550
lacuna-m1	Yes	500
Nadmi	Yes	400
thecaricature	Yes	300
chemp1mln	Yes	240
jojothevampire	Yes	230.77
jutneqewj	Yes	160
ikerv	Yes	131.09
Oleg1970	Yes	125
liobello	Yes	110.09
0xe0111c932dDF1C517B31E8CF14Ea8aa534C19e82-1777333572129	Yes	107.14
Danya.Savin	Yes	100
mocamoca	Yes	50
0xeE9A2eb9042Ff344680262c700A590E4BEEc1Db8-1775580681143	Yes	46.15
0x3B58f737012CC9Cc650DB57F82d65f3d88F72cC8-1768071303118	Yes	42.86
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	42

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
15:09:03	BUY	No	0.935	10	$9.35
23:34:27	BUY	Yes	0.0629999725	33	$2.10
13:05:40	SELL	No	0.9373910645	930	$871.77
11:06:59	BUY	Yes	0.0615567344	16	$1.00
06:13:49	SELL	Yes	0.04	16	$0.64
07:37:25	SELL	No	0.938	30	$28.14
07:35:21	SELL	Yes	0.0450689671	435	$19.60
07:35:01	SELL	Yes	0.045	445	$20.02
07:33:37	SELL	Yes	0.055	455	$25.02
07:33:22	SELL	Yes	0.055	425	$23.38
07:32:10	SELL	Yes	0.055	470	$25.85
07:31:58	SELL	Yes	0.055	440	$24.20
07:31:43	SELL	Yes	0.055	460	$25.30
07:31:25	SELL	Yes	0.055	450	$24.75
06:44:00	BUY	No	0.945	460	$434.70
06:43:46	BUY	No	0.945	450	$425.25
06:43:25	BUY	No	0.945	470	$444.15
06:43:09	BUY	No	0.945	440	$415.80
06:33:48	BUY	No	0.955	445	$424.97
06:33:34	BUY	No	0.955	435	$415.42
06:32:57	BUY	No	0.955	455	$434.52
06:31:54	BUY	No	0.96	425	$408.00
04:20:34	SELL	Yes	0.028	10	$0.28
04:17:16	SELL	Yes	0.061	900	$54.90
04:17:01	SELL	Yes	0.061	445	$27.14

Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? · PolyBot Pro