Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2027-01-01
Rewards: 0 min size · 0¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.036. down 0.013 over the period, from 0.049. Range 0.036 to 0.057. 149 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.037	983	983
0.067	7	990
0.068	50	1,040
0.069	81	1,121
0.070	30	1,151
0.078	50	1,201
0.079	100	1,301
0.080	200	1,501
0.169	100	1,601
0.193	50	1,651
0.304	200	1,851
0.350	10	1,861

Spread0.002Mid0.036

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.035	5	5
0.029	10	15
0.028	25	40
0.027	67	107
0.023	20	127
0.008	28	155
0.007	12	167
0.006	57	224
0.005	96	320
0.004	538	859
0.003	982	1,841
0.002	8,212	10,053

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.965	5	5
0.971	10	15
0.972	25	40
0.973	67	107
0.977	20	127
0.992	28	155
0.993	12	167
0.994	57	224
0.995	96	320
0.996	538	859
0.997	982	1,841
0.998	8,212	10,053

Spread0.002Mid0.964

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.963	983	983
0.933	7	990
0.932	50	1,040
0.931	81	1,121
0.930	30	1,151
0.922	50	1,201
0.921	100	1,301
0.920	200	1,501
0.831	100	1,601
0.807	50	1,651
0.696	200	1,851
0.650	10	1,861

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
lacuna-m1	Yes	1,000
0x278f442B68B06e99461C123139d3233265e910b8-1774890445809	Yes	750
Nadmi	Yes	400
thecaricature	Yes	300
Serega	Yes	300
chemp1mln	Yes	240
jojothevampire	Yes	230.77
jutneqewj	Yes	160
ikerv	Yes	131.09
Oleg1970	Yes	125
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	124.97
liobello	Yes	110.09
0xe0111c932dDF1C517B31E8CF14Ea8aa534C19e82-1777333572129	Yes	107.14
Danya.Savin	Yes	100
mocamoca	Yes	50
0xeE9A2eb9042Ff344680262c700A590E4BEEc1Db8-1775580681143	Yes	46.15
0x3B58f737012CC9Cc650DB57F82d65f3d88F72cC8-1768071303118	Yes	42.86
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	42
Lavincey	Yes	40
Mr.Burns	Yes	34.42

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
02:31:33	BUY	No	0.963	37	$35.48
20:03:37	BUY	Yes	0.0652241667	300	$19.57
12:54:33	SELL	No	0.9418103643	44	$41.62
08:26:23	SELL	Yes	0.037810081	56	$2.10
08:24:32	SELL	No	0.938	33	$30.64
08:24:20	SELL	Yes	0.0500141512	2,120	$106.03
11:18:48	SELL	No	0.9388571429	35	$32.86
07:44:47	SELL	Yes	0.0500826446	363	$18.18
07:43:22	SELL	Yes	0.05	648	$32.40
07:41:49	SELL	Yes	0.05	668	$33.40
07:40:20	SELL	Yes	0.05	660	$33.00
11:04:44	SELL	No	0.95	311	$295.45
09:38:21	SELL	No	0.95	268	$254.60
09:37:35	SELL	No	0.95	355	$337.25
09:32:59	SELL	No	0.95	322	$305.90
09:30:06	SELL	No	0.95	351	$333.45
09:28:59	SELL	No	0.95	300	$285.00
09:27:12	SELL	No	0.95	192	$182.40
09:26:45	SELL	No	0.95	206	$195.70
09:26:15	SELL	No	0.95	200	$190.00
09:18:48	SELL	No	0.95	303	$287.85
09:11:03	SELL	No	0.95	300	$285.00
08:51:44	SELL	No	0.95	170	$161.50
08:50:45	SELL	No	0.95	151	$143.45
08:49:50	SELL	No	0.95	200	$190.00