jutneqewj
0xf0a55e1a63b37f5247357f57e2faa66912ef92ba
- Realised P&L
- $-19.77
- Volume
- $13.3k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $242.91
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration79.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.595 | $157.68 | +$9.28 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.325 | $45.17 | +$20.16 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.155 | $29.91 | +$4.83 |
| Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.054 | $8.64 | −$0.96 |
| Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.007 | $1.50 | −$8.50 |
| Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$153.01at 0.056Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of March?
- +$39.45at 0.370Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?
- +$-0.80at 0.008Will the US strike Yemen next?
- +$-3.01at 0.018Iran leadership change by March 13?
- +$-16.90at 0.200Iran leadership change by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-14 20:01 | Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.005 | $19.73 |
| 04-14 20:01 | Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $24.75 |
| 04-12 22:10 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.56 | $148.40 |
| 04-03 07:31 | Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.013 | $51.30 |
| 04-03 07:14 | Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $49.50 |
| 03-29 08:28 | Iran leadership change by March 31? | SELL | 0.031 | $3.10 |
| 03-14 23:28 | Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of March? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.08 |
| 03-13 18:16 | Iran leadership change by March 13? | SELL | 0.012 | $6.02 |
| 03-13 12:32 | Iran leadership change by March 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 03-12 17:30 | Iran leadership change by March 13? | BUY | 0.018 | $9.04 |
| 03-12 09:41 | Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.13 | $3.19 |
| 03-12 09:41 | Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.18 | $25.02 |
| 03-05 14:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March? | SELL | 0.764528 | $76.45 |
| 02-28 17:14 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.2899999981 | $100.00 |