0xeE9A2eb9042Ff344680262c700A590E4BEEc1Db8-1775580681143
0xee9a2eb9042ff344680262c700a590e4beec1db8
- Realised P&L
- $-51.96
- Volume
- $13.3k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $1.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.033 | $1.50 | −$4.50 |
| US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30? · Yes | 0.131 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? · No | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$55.98 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? · No | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.68at 0.176JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
- +$-1.86at 0.070Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
- +$-5.80at 0.045Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 7-13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-12 05:27 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? | SELL | 0.044 | $3.14 |
| 04-12 05:21 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 7-13? | SELL | 0.020452796 | $4.52 |
| 04-10 20:30 | JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | SELL | 0.988 | $33.68 |
| 04-07 21:47 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.009 | $6.00 |
| 04-07 21:40 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.0076591671 | $10.00 |
| 04-07 20:48 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.006 | $15.00 |
| 04-07 17:14 | US forces enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.003 | $6.00 |
| 04-07 17:13 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.005 | $5.00 |
| 04-07 17:11 | US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.1305277394 | $10.00 |
| 04-07 17:11 | JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.1760019536 | $6.00 |
| 04-07 17:07 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 7-13? | BUY | 0.0421568588 | $8.62 |
| 04-07 17:01 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? | BUY | 0.0699999874 | $5.00 |
| 04-07 16:56 | Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999816 | $6.00 |
| 04-07 16:55 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.004 | $5.00 |
| 04-07 16:55 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.004 | $15.00 |