ikerv
0x4fd237e78ef8660f2b47e13924ebcbf9302748e6
- Realised P&L
- $-407.99
- Volume
- $481.0k
- Markets traded
- 116
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded116
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.752US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.4kat 0.130Will Ethereum reach $4,200 October 20-26?
- +$1.4kat 0.667Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
- +$1.3kat 0.255Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$1.3kat 0.659Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 18:26 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? | SELL | 0.6 | $0.39 |
| 06-22 18:26 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? | SELL | 0.4 | $2.3k |
| 06-22 18:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? | BUY | 0.42 | $42.71 |
| 06-22 18:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? | BUY | 0.42 | $66.31 |
| 06-22 18:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? | BUY | 0.42 | $50.31 |
| 06-22 18:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? | BUY | 0.42 | $58.17 |
| 06-22 18:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? | BUY | 0.42 | $83.51 |
| 06-22 18:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? | BUY | 0.42 | $74.76 |
| 06-22 18:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? | BUY | 0.42 | $92.59 |
| 06-22 18:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? | BUY | 0.42 | $122.02 |
| 06-22 18:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? | BUY | 0.42 | $102.02 |
| 06-22 18:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? | BUY | 0.42 | $111.83 |
| 06-22 18:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? | BUY | 0.42 | $132.63 |
| 06-22 18:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? | BUY | 0.42 | $143.68 |
| 06-22 18:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? | BUY | 0.42 | $155.21 |