PolyBot

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Traders

liobello

0x5659dfc6f1e9b322de341143c6a91da003615d66

Realised P&L
$-2.9k
Volume
$102.0k
Markets traded
131
Open portfolio
$409.22

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded131
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0520.131$221.85+$133.45
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2050.221$110.25+$7.75
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1700.055$71.18$148.82
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? · Yes0.0800.054$5.94$2.86
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00$7.40
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX? · Yes0.0650.000$0.00$3.25
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00$19.07
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$5.50
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00$2.36
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR? · Yes0.2390.000$0.00$23.90
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$5.00
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX? · Yes0.0570.000$0.00$2.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-16 20:42Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.0242482413$206.09
04-23 09:20Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0235317615$200.00
04-23 09:20Trump out as President before 2027?SELL0.16$207.06
04-12 03:57Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.1699999997$440.00
04-12 03:56Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?SELL0.69$80.92
04-12 03:56Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.53$230.00
04-12 03:52Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?SELL0.4822514508$131.30
04-07 23:09Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?BUY0.7599999936$88.27
04-07 23:09Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?SELL0.2379476799$68.76
04-07 23:01Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?BUY0.7345666048$200.00
04-07 23:01Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?SELL0.11$36.67
04-07 23:01Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?SELL0.17$39.10
04-07 23:01Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?SELL0.19$19.00
04-07 23:00US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?SELL0.02$5.00
04-07 22:59Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.26$107.31