Mr.Burns
0x97b15a57e3b9236ec7ef99b568affd5692411a63
- Realised P&L
- $-275.21
- Volume
- $14.5k
- Markets traded
- 165
- Open portfolio
- $85.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded165
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.75at 0.167Canada recession before 2027?
- +$14.45at 0.369Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$11.67at 0.300Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$6.96at 0.100Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026?
- +$6.80at 0.329Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 15:34 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0409999925 | $5.18 |
| 08-02 15:33 | Natural Disaster in 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $5.36 |
| 07-29 15:11 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0389999931 | $5.22 |
| 07-29 15:10 | Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | SELL | 0.3331152648 | $5.35 |
| 07-09 03:48 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0419999937 | $6.27 |
| 07-09 03:46 | Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | SELL | 0.094364 | $2.36 |
| 07-09 03:45 | Will Venezuela become 51st state? | SELL | 0.032 | $2.17 |
| 07-09 03:45 | Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.009 | $1.92 |
| 07-07 19:56 | New pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0683253454 | $4.59 |
| 07-07 19:56 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.222 | $2.12 |
| 07-07 15:01 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.085 | $2.56 |
| 07-02 04:00 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999921 | $10.19 |
| 07-02 03:59 | António Guterres out by December 31? | SELL | 0.26 | $2.97 |
| 07-02 03:59 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.16 | $3.59 |
| 07-02 03:59 | US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? | SELL | 0.23 | $3.97 |