PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Mr.Burns

0x97b15a57e3b9236ec7ef99b568affd5692411a63

Realised P&L
$-275.21
Volume
$14.5k
Markets traded
165
Open portfolio
$85.91

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded165
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0410.019$7.98−$8.68
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · Yes0.0980.040$7.98−$11.58
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.051$2.94−$1.06
New pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0880.017$2.93−$12.17
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2700.175$2.90−$1.58
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.080$2.86−$2.14
Alcatraz reopened in 2026? · Yes0.1400.144$2.57+$0.07
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? · Yes0.0700.044$2.52−$1.48
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · Yes0.1700.055$2.10−$4.40
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.1400.055$1.96−$3.04
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? · Yes0.1070.052$1.96−$2.04
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? · Yes0.1160.052$1.81−$2.19
Iran nuclear test before 2027? · Yes0.1000.043$1.74−$2.26
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.041$1.69−$0.81
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? · Yes0.3800.155$1.63−$2.37

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 15:34Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.0409999925$5.18
08-02 15:33Natural Disaster in 2026?SELL0.3$5.36
07-29 15:11Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.0389999931$5.22
07-29 15:10Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?SELL0.3331152648$5.35
07-09 03:48Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.0419999937$6.27
07-09 03:46Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?SELL0.094364$2.36
07-09 03:45Will Venezuela become 51st state?SELL0.032$2.17
07-09 03:45Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.009$1.92
07-07 19:56New pandemic in 2026?BUY0.0683253454$4.59
07-07 19:56Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.222$2.12
07-07 15:01Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.085$2.56
07-02 04:00Will Russia invade another country in 2026?BUY0.0899999921$10.19
07-02 03:59António Guterres out by December 31?SELL0.26$2.97
07-02 03:59Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.16$3.59
07-02 03:59US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?SELL0.23$3.97