PolyBot

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Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2027-07-01
Resolves by
https://www.climatecentral.org/climate-services/billion-dollar-disasters
Rewards
20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.17. down 0.05 over the period, from 0.22. Range 0.16 to 0.55. 143 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.224040
0.372060
0.552080
0.56585
0.5850135
0.59483618
0.8510628
0.9830658
0.9950708

Spread0.09Mid0.17

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.13232232
0.0940272
0.0870342
0.0645387
0.05100487
0.0470557
0.0310567
0.0150617

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.87232232
0.9140272
0.9270342
0.9445387
0.95100487
0.9670557
0.9710567
0.9950617

Spread0.09Mid0.82

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.784040
0.632060
0.452080
0.44585
0.4250135
0.41483618
0.1510628
0.0230658
0.0150708

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
xtxpleasecallmeYes274
makanmakanYes50
2B9SYes29.81
stack8Yes20
29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.Yes20
pombosYes20
0x96BFC07480D572c3AedB2B1f5CB08A98f297403E-1782223511037Yes20
0xd45b…7ae6Yes20
gfdgfvfvssddYes4
0xd2d3E93862A6033d9648ef915B1525865c777bb3-1789898420454Yes2
0x4613…7932Yes1
Hans323No232
sasha585No128.8
TearsInTheRainNo48.78
bubububblebuttNo40
PadreMaronnoNo9.99
Ichi7No1.27

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
17:55:28SELLYes0.1520$3.00
17:54:51BUYNo0.819999996749$40.00
07:39:12BUYYes0.2120$4.20
06:12:06SELLYes0.1820$3.60
00:36:02BUYYes0.1820$3.60
02:49:12BUYNo0.7760$46.20
15:02:41BUYYes0.1820$3.60
15:02:21BUYYes0.1820$3.60
18:51:02BUYNo0.7120$14.20
12:59:41SELLYes0.1920$3.75
16:14:56BUYNo0.72129$92.74
16:14:56BUYNo0.7520$15.00
23:47:20BUYNo0.7120$14.20
23:47:20SELLYes0.320$6.00
15:25:57SELLYes0.320$6.00
00:02:26BUYNo0.6644$29.04
17:14:54BUYNo0.6118$10.98
15:30:39BUYNo0.6720$13.40
15:30:39SELLYes0.3320$6.60
17:50:48BUYYes0.3420$6.80
17:50:48BUYYes0.29169$48.95
19:01:09BUYYes0.2420$4.80
18:54:36SELLYes0.2285$18.74
17:54:32SELLYes0.2452$12.58
12:52:18SELLYes0.2820$5.60