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Traders

pombos

0x4ae63b5b9b4046adabae27a7863e0caa1a5d8e75

Realised P&L
$-15.55
Volume
$6.7k
Markets traded
240
Open portfolio
$178.90

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded240
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.8400.845$32.83+$0.19
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on November 1? · Yes0.4300.963$19.25+$10.65
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on November 1? · No0.6300.935$18.70+$6.10
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on November 3? · No0.6200.610$12.20−$0.20
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.4300.515$10.30+$1.70
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.4500.485$9.70+$0.70
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on November 2? · No0.6400.605$8.76−$0.51
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 3? · No0.4600.430$8.60−$0.60
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on November 3? · Yes0.4000.385$7.70−$0.30
Will Thor die in Avengers: Doomsday? · No0.3200.320$6.40+$0.00
Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.30% before 2027? · No0.8500.835$5.04−$0.09
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by December 31? · Yes0.5500.500$5.00−$0.50
Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $7.50 on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2190.243$4.87+$0.49
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on November 2? · Yes0.3200.235$4.70−$1.70
Will Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) win Song of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? · No0.6850.829$4.13+$0.72

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 20:00Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on November 1?SELL0.999$19.98
11-01 14:59Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on November 1?SELL0.99825$19.96
11-01 05:18Will Anthropic be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?SELL0.15$1.88
10-30 21:25Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 30?SELL0.01$0.20
10-30 20:00Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 30?SELL0.999$19.98
10-30 01:00Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 29?SELL0.999$19.98
10-29 20:01Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan?SELL0.5$5.50
10-28 20:00Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 28?SELL0.9719941119$9.90
10-28 19:48Will a UK social media ban take effect by June 30, 2027?SELL0.61$11.87
10-27 12:30Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 9°C on October 27?SELL0.39$3.90
10-27 12:29Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 9°C on October 27?SELL0.4$4.00
10-27 09:43Will Claude Fable's output price be at or above $55 in 2026?SELL0.83$16.60
10-26 05:59Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on October 25?SELL0.02$0.40
10-25 10:11Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?SELL0.91$16.94
10-18 22:56Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by December 31?SELL0.164$8.20
Trader pombos · PolyBot Pro