sasha585
0xa2ef4082377b3a2ba4c4789d904cf851cdba4535
- Realised P&L
- $2.1k
- Volume
- $99.8k
- Markets traded
- 686
- Open portfolio
- $2.6k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded686
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$180.31at 0.326Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?
- +$169.75at 0.261Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?
- +$119.77at 0.279Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?
- +$106.47at 0.658Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?
- +$87.73at 0.560Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $95B by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 22:29 | Will Concrete launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.059 | $1.18 |
| 09-17 20:26 | Will City Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 19:55 | Will City Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 09-17 10:06 | Will City Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 09-17 09:52 | Will City Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.41 | $4.92 |
| 09-17 09:45 | Will City Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 09-16 23:14 | Will City Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 23:14 | Will City Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 20:31 | Will Concrete launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.029 | $0.34 |
| 09-16 18:26 | US recession by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.8799997184 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 18:24 | Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8499997025 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 16:40 | Will City Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.43 | $4.30 |
| 09-16 14:49 | No one announced as next James Bond? | SELL | 0.781 | $1.33 |
| 09-16 14:49 | Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $1.37 |
| 09-16 12:31 | Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $55.80 |