PadreMaronno
0xc468b3b8564017fcf2bf9ede2608a0ea24b1009d
- Realised P&L
- $14.2k
- Volume
- $548.5k
- Markets traded
- 4,429
- Open portfolio
- $3.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded4,429
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$258.67at 0.435Will Juventus finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?
- +$208.76at 0.127Will Trump say "Unbelievable" or "Fantastic" or "Incredible" 10+ times during Panthers visit?
- +$205.56at 0.232Will Leavitt say "President" 69+ times during the next White House press briefing?
- +$186.67at 0.050Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during WEF Address on January 21?
- +$186.61at 0.290Will Sal Da Vinci win Sanremo 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 19:45 | Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" this week? | BUY | 0.938 | $46.90 |
| 09-04 16:09 | Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 09-04 16:09 | Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 09-04 16:07 | Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $3.78 |
| 09-04 16:07 | Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026? | BUY | 0.47 | $18.80 |
| 08-25 10:45 | Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 08-25 10:45 | Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 08-25 08:37 | Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan? | BUY | 0.19 | $20.33 |
| 08-24 18:24 | Will Trump say "College" during Rose Garden event? | BUY | 0.16 | $8.00 |
| 08-24 14:01 | Will Bessent say "Network" during press conference? | BUY | 0.1 | $0.50 |
| 08-23 15:58 | Will Tropical Storm Saudel peak as a "Very Strong Typhoon"? | BUY | 0.86 | $8.60 |
| 08-23 15:58 | Will Tropical Storm Saudel peak as a "Violent Typhoon"? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.20 |
| 08-23 15:14 | Will Tropical Storm Saudel peak as a "Very Strong Typhoon"? | BUY | 0.81 | $14.62 |
| 08-23 15:13 | Will Tropical Storm Saudel peak as a "Very Strong Typhoon"? | BUY | 0.8 | $16.00 |
| 08-23 15:13 | Will Tropical Storm Saudel peak as a "Very Strong Typhoon"? | BUY | 0.79 | $15.80 |