0x96BFC07480D572c3AedB2B1f5CB08A98f297403E-1782223511037
0x96bfc07480d572c3aedb2b1f5cb08a98f297403e
- Realised P&L
- $-842.00
- Volume
- $123.9k
- Markets traded
- 157
- Open portfolio
- $110.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded157
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$779.08at 0.495Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
- +$736.67at 0.430Will Linda Nosková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
- +$694.98at 0.160Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- +$685.49at 0.117Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
- +$669.53at 0.476Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-21 02:27 | Will Kimberly Yee be the Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction Republican nominee? | SELL | 0.36 | $18.00 |
| 07-21 02:18 | US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $40.15 |
| 07-21 00:32 | Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31? | SELL | 0.81 | $8.50 |
| 07-21 00:31 | Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31? | SELL | 0.81 | $48.60 |
| 07-21 00:25 | Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31? | SELL | 0.81 | $48.60 |
| 07-21 00:21 | Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31? | SELL | 0.81 | $11.87 |
| 07-21 00:20 | Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31? | SELL | 0.82 | $40.60 |
| 07-20 21:16 | Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? | SELL | 0.44 | $22.00 |
| 07-20 17:56 | Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.68 | $6.12 |
| 07-20 15:29 | Will USD be at least 1.9M Iranian rials on July 31? | SELL | 0.45 | $14.66 |
| 07-20 15:24 | Will no listed leader be out before 2027? | SELL | 0.32 | $16.00 |
| 07-20 14:09 | Will LeBron's next contract average $10M-$15M per year? | SELL | 0.814 | $20.90 |
| 07-20 12:54 | Will USD be at least 1.9M Iranian rials on July 31? | SELL | 0.53 | $9.24 |
| 07-20 12:20 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 07-20 04:15 | Will Mohamed Salah play in Saudi Pro League next? | SELL | 0.8 | $40.00 |