PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

TearsInTheRain

0xd2f62b045b9be73d36c980526145374a23d4cbf3

Realised P&L
$-511.87
Volume
$104.2k
Markets traded
1,347
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,347
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration6.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? · No0.5880.715$126.53+$22.46
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October? · No0.8590.830$115.98−$4.02
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? · Yes0.9780.987$100.96+$0.96
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? · No0.7650.715$93.41−$6.59
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October? · No0.7680.735$76.55−$3.45
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? · No0.5660.505$71.38−$8.62
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? · Yes0.8100.835$52.57+$1.57
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16? · Yes0.9620.978$51.80+$0.80
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October? · No0.8900.900$50.56+$0.56
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October? · No0.3690.195$43.57−$38.99
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? · No0.8400.905$43.10+$3.10
LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs · Team WE0.4400.675$38.35+$13.35
Will Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri be the next Prime Minister of Morocco? · Yes0.9540.951$36.87−$0.13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October? · No0.6800.725$31.99+$1.99
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? · No0.8500.800$28.24−$1.76

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 06:00Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.8899999604$18.00
10-15 05:59Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?BUY0.8899999886$50.00
10-15 05:59Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?BUY0.6799999855$30.00
10-15 05:58LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational PlayoffsBUY0.4399999947$10.00
10-15 05:58Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane SweenySELL0.999$48.01
10-15 05:58Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Zenith (BO3) - DreamLeague China Closed Qualifier PlayoffsSELL0.999$22.65
10-15 05:57Jinan: Alexander Shevchenko vs Jay Dylan FriendSELL0.999$21.66
10-15 05:57Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Zenith - Game 2 WinnerSELL0.999$14.62
10-15 05:56Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane SweenyBUY0.8729999969$30.00
10-15 05:13LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational PlayoffsBUY0.4399999883$15.00
10-15 05:13Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane SweenyBUY0.7299999876$10.00
10-15 05:12Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Zenith - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.6831683026$10.00
10-15 05:12Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Zenith (BO3) - DreamLeague China Closed Qualifier PlayoffsBUY0.902205558$20.45
10-15 05:09Nuggets vs. ClippersSELL0.999$64.45
10-15 05:09Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Zenith - Game 1 WinnerSELL0.999$24.45