PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

stack8

0x1614e7bf5a4004750162419f3a13185fae04fdc0

Realised P&L
$-426.12
Volume
$45.1k
Markets traded
45
Open portfolio
$117.84

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded45
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration50.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6300.735$30.77+$4.39
Will Jay Z perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? · Yes0.7100.710$21.30+$0.00
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.4370.615$17.17+$4.97
Will Taylor Swift perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? · No0.8030.808$16.17+$0.11
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5000.495$15.65−$0.16
Will Microsoft launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027? · Yes0.6200.280$11.20−$13.60
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.4200.375$5.16−$0.62
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.1900.380$0.42+$0.21
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$10.00
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw? · Yes0.2820.000$0.00−$10.00
Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes0.1770.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.1090.000$0.00−$142.12
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 06:28Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.37$4.83
10-09 00:54Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.46$12.12
10-08 18:52Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5$15.81
10-07 17:07Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.19$2.12
10-07 14:05Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.33$7.24
10-06 04:48Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?SELL0.114$1.17
10-05 12:29Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4370872705$12.20
10-05 08:58Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3299999759$3.69
10-05 05:25Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.22$4.37
10-05 01:53Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3124080664$8.23
10-05 01:22Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1899999965$4.38
10-04 16:17Netanyahu out by end of 2026?BUY0.4199999927$5.78
10-03 23:07Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.387353911$7.70
10-03 20:05Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3099999793$4.05
10-03 05:57Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6299999978$26.37