PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01
Resolves by
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
Rewards
0 min size · 0¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.002. down 0.001 over the period, from 0.002. Range 0.002 to 0.003. 147 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.002744744
0.0042,3933,137
0.0061,5664,703
0.0071,3126,016
0.0081,3127,328
0.0091,3128,640
0.0101,41310,053
0.0111,35711,410
0.1501211,421
0.1792011,441
0.1801,07412,515
0.1951012,525

Spread0.001Mid0.002

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.00137,16737,167

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.99937,16737,167

Spread0.001Mid0.998

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.998744744
0.9962,3933,137
0.9941,5664,703
0.9931,3126,016
0.9921,3127,328
0.9911,3128,640
0.9901,41310,053
0.9891,35711,410
0.8501211,421
0.8212011,441
0.8201,07412,515
0.8051012,525

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
125-kooyanisqatsiYes7,873.53
BurgeYes3,146.34
GamblingEnjoyerYes2,593.97
0xB16B00B5Yes2,195.87
puravidaYes1,073.91
hippokaYes1,041.8
GrandNegroniSlurpClubYes769.13
begenYes684
AMAM13Yes606.1
xtxpleasecallmeYes554.33
awgraewrfaYes466.28
Anne666Yes416.01
Red-bluedegenYes330.72
Crypto-WellYes328.38
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495Yes315.29
LornaPredictsYes308
acc42020Yes254.38
planktonXDYes248.2
donthackmeYes172.53
carpe-noctemYes170

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
00:35:12SELLNo0.99840$40.11
23:32:33BUYNo0.99917$16.90
23:15:09BUYNo0.99923$23.26
04:38:00SELLNo0.99811$11.13
03:57:43SELLNo0.99811$11.20
02:55:10BUYNo0.99922$22.35
04:07:09SELLNo0.99812$12.34
03:40:15SELLNo0.99811$11.23
03:06:21BUYNo0.99924$23.59
14:32:32BUYNo0.99915$14.85
09:52:50SELLYes0.00115$0.01
09:52:46SELLYes0.0011$0.00
09:52:38SELLYes0.00113$0.01
09:52:32SELLYes0.00130$0.03
07:37:31BUYNo0.99927$26.47
07:37:31BUYNo0.99920$19.98
01:51:40SELLNo0.9989$9.28
01:22:41BUYNo0.9999$9.30
18:20:58BUYNo0.99940$39.96
18:09:46BUYNo0.99930$29.97
18:05:31BUYNo0.99930$29.97
18:04:10BUYNo0.99937$36.96
18:03:49BUYNo0.9998$7.99
14:49:07SELLYes0.00112$0.01
04:58:13SELLNo0.99730$29.94