Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-09

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.004. Unchanged over the period, from 0.004. Range 0.003 to 0.004. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.004	2,311	2,311
0.007	1,192	3,503
0.008	1,106	4,608
0.009	1,106	5,714
0.010	1,106	6,820
0.011	1,106	7,926
0.012	1,106	9,031
0.014	1,074	10,105
0.101	10	10,115
0.102	5	10,120
0.115	6	10,126
0.195	10	10,136

Spread0.001Mid0.004

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.003	7,768	7,768
0.002	18,422	26,190
0.001	16,396	42,586

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.997	7,768	7,768
0.998	18,422	26,190
0.999	16,396	42,586

Spread0.001Mid0.996

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.996	2,311	2,311
0.993	1,192	3,503
0.992	1,106	4,608
0.991	1,106	5,714
0.990	1,106	6,820
0.989	1,106	7,926
0.988	1,106	9,031
0.986	1,074	10,105
0.899	10	10,115
0.898	5	10,120
0.885	6	10,126
0.805	10	10,136

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
125-kooyanisqatsi	Yes	6,702.57
Burge	Yes	3,146.34
GamblingEnjoyer	Yes	2,593.97
0xB16B00B5	Yes	2,195.87
puravida	Yes	1,073.91
hippoka	Yes	1,041.8
GrandNegroniSlurpClub	Yes	769.13
begen	Yes	684
AMAM13	Yes	606.1
cry.eth2	Yes	466.28
Red-bluedegen	Yes	330.72
LornaPredicts	Yes	308
acc42020	Yes	254.38
planktonXD	Yes	248.2
donthackme	Yes	172.54
carpe-noctem	Yes	170
Convex79	Yes	160.8
0x06d898dd11C4c1ffcA1F91c2c47f6E379b4C9446-1776245316934	Yes	150
Bikesarethebest	Yes	147.29
Brianm	Yes	125.74

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
01:32:09	BUY	No	0.997	5	$4.99
22:50:25	BUY	No	0.997	5	$4.99
19:15:07	BUY	No	0.997	8	$7.98
19:13:42	BUY	No	0.997	20	$19.94
19:05:25	BUY	No	0.997	5	$4.99
19:05:24	BUY	No	0.997	5	$4.99
17:50:16	BUY	No	0.997	5	$4.99
12:50:22	BUY	No	0.997	5	$4.99
10:50:15	BUY	No	0.997	5	$4.99
07:50:21	BUY	No	0.997	5	$4.99
05:51:12	BUY	No	0.997	5	$4.99
05:04:31	BUY	No	0.997	5	$4.99
05:04:31	BUY	No	0.997	5	$4.99
03:50:25	BUY	No	0.997	5	$4.99
02:51:43	BUY	No	0.997	5	$4.99
01:51:10	BUY	No	0.997	5	$4.99
01:51:09	BUY	No	0.997	5	$4.99
01:49:12	BUY	No	0.997	5	$4.99
23:42:28	SELL	Yes	0.003	596	$1.79
23:28:46	BUY	No	0.997	10	$9.97
23:26:57	BUY	No	0.997	5	$4.99
23:26:57	BUY	No	0.997	8	$7.98
23:26:55	BUY	No	0.997	20	$19.94
23:26:55	BUY	No	0.997	10	$9.97
23:22:00	BUY	No	0.997	6	$5.98