GrandNegroniSlurpClub
0x0325cdd441e451c887cde20621567584fa8c16e7
- Realised P&L
- $-767.94
- Volume
- $322.5k
- Markets traded
- 96
- Open portfolio
- $13.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded96
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.9kat 0.189Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
- +$2.1kat 0.291Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
- +$1.4kat 0.090Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
- +$503.48at 0.590Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
- +$384.00at 0.680Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-12 22:35 | Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.0105505656 | $30.78 |
| 07-12 22:34 | Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.0380611792 | $141.70 |
| 07-12 22:33 | Will Adam Hamilton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas? | BUY | 0.1057157236 | $212.16 |
| 07-12 22:30 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | SELL | 0.94 | $29.14 |
| 07-12 22:30 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.0687644245 | $38.23 |
| 07-12 22:29 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | SELL | 0.85 | $53.55 |
| 07-12 22:27 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | SELL | 0.8 | $113.60 |
| 07-12 22:25 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $746.46 |
| 07-12 22:25 | US strike on Mexico by December 31? | SELL | 0.89 | $201.14 |
| 07-12 22:24 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.35 | $208.60 |
| 07-12 22:23 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $480.81 |
| 07-12 22:22 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.8961633282 | $581.61 |
| 07-12 22:22 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.92 | $583.28 |
| 07-12 22:20 | Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $740.74 |
| 07-05 18:35 | Will Patrick Schmidt be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas? | BUY | 0.028 | $1.93 |