PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

GrandNegroniSlurpClub

0x0325cdd441e451c887cde20621567584fa8c16e7

Realised P&L
$-767.94
Volume
$322.5k
Markets traded
96
Open portfolio
$13.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded96
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.5000.961$7.3k+$3.5k
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.6100.745$972.97+$176.52
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8500.785$741.04$61.36
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.7310.845$698.81+$94.38
US strike on Mexico by December 31? · No0.8330.890$550.91+$35.32
AI bubble burst in 2026? · No0.8070.822$459.37+$7.87
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.0830.069$411.71$88.33
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0650.086$404.67+$97.66
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.8000.945$356.26+$54.77
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.5000.040$301.45$3.5k
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.8500.945$258.93+$26.03
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.6780.935$214.96+$58.95
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? · No0.8000.825$203.67+$6.17
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8000.945$171.99+$26.39
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? · Yes0.0360.021$123.16$94.28

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-12 22:35Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?BUY0.0105505656$30.78
07-12 22:34Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?BUY0.0380611792$141.70
07-12 22:33Will Adam Hamilton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?BUY0.1057157236$212.16
07-12 22:30Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?SELL0.94$29.14
07-12 22:30Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.0687644245$38.23
07-12 22:292026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseSELL0.85$53.55
07-12 22:27Iran leadership change by December 31?SELL0.8$113.60
07-12 22:25Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?SELL0.87$746.46
07-12 22:25US strike on Mexico by December 31?SELL0.89$201.14
07-12 22:24Netanyahu out by end of 2026?SELL0.35$208.60
07-12 22:23Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL0.93$480.81
07-12 22:22Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?SELL0.8961633282$581.61
07-12 22:22Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.92$583.28
07-12 22:20Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?SELL0.91$740.74
07-05 18:35Will Patrick Schmidt be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?BUY0.028$1.93