GrandNegroniSlurpClub
0x0325cdd441e451c887cde20621567584fa8c16e7
- Realised P&L
- $-905.48
- Volume
- $344.0k
- Markets traded
- 96
- Open portfolio
- $2.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded96
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.9kat 0.194Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
- +$2.1kat 0.291Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
- +$1.4kat 0.090Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
- +$503.48at 0.590Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
- +$447.37at 0.083Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 23:05 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.017 | $18.74 |
| 09-04 23:05 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $28.80 |
| 09-04 23:04 | US strike on Mexico by December 31? | SELL | 0.9 | $557.10 |
| 08-12 00:48 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | SELL | 0.88 | $25.52 |
| 08-12 00:47 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.94 | $30.08 |
| 08-12 00:46 | Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $4.40 |
| 08-11 01:52 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | SELL | 0.81 | $570.30 |
| 08-11 01:50 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.45 | $55.48 |
| 08-11 01:50 | Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $66.96 |
| 08-11 01:49 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.93 | $82.77 |
| 08-11 01:49 | Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.82 | $95.14 |
| 08-11 01:48 | Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? | SELL | 0.002 | $7.10 |
| 08-11 01:47 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $112.84 |
| 08-11 01:47 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.95 | $172.90 |
| 08-11 01:46 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $213.81 |