PolyBot

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Will the Republican Party win the WI-04 House seat?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-04
Resolves by
https://www.fec.gov/

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.022. down 0.018 over the period, from 0.040. Range 0.013 to 0.046. 153 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0352020
0.0372040
0.038100140
0.04550190
0.04620210
0.049164374
0.050351725
0.0518733
0.0524041,137
0.0594001,537
0.0601,0002,537
0.061632,600

Spread0.025Mid0.023

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0102121
0.0071839
0.0063069
0.005424493
0.00383576
0.002230806
0.0017101,516

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9902121
0.9931839
0.9943069
0.995424493
0.99783576
0.998230806
0.9997101,516

Spread0.025Mid0.978

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9652020
0.9632040
0.962100140
0.95550190
0.95420210
0.951164374
0.950351725
0.9498733
0.9484041,137
0.9414001,537
0.9401,0002,537
0.939632,600

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
SitsToPeeYes994.26
thecaricatureYes200
FreeCityIndividualYes170
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495Yes152.1
2B9SYes121.53
xtxpleasecallmeYes113.47
EdolEYes103.6
ma99Yes100
awgraewrfaYes88
easy-going2Yes75
0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938Yes70.89
animal.beanYes47.81
e46m3Yes34.49
LBZbot2Yes20
0x120b3E2E98fC4fe8C383C70867fD635669F1eE03-1730491999430No1,314.52
0xa5ef…2966No597.15
donthackmeNo78
borisanimalNo53
eestiburnsNo52
natalya.No51

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
14:55:55BUYNo0.9765$4.88
01:44:34BUYNo0.9715$14.55
00:36:47BUYNo0.96944$42.63
01:12:00SELLNo0.942583333360$56.55
10:39:07BUYYes0.01464$0.90
08:23:20BUYYes0.01475$1.05
17:44:35SELLYes0.01313$0.17
00:48:20BUYYes0.014140$1.96
18:18:36BUYYes0.01534$0.52
16:03:40BUYYes0.0069834047994$6.94
19:23:55BUYNo0.988222$219.34
12:58:28SELLYes0.01717$0.28
20:30:00SELLYes0.02252$1.15
15:21:30BUYNo0.97810$9.78
08:52:35SELLYes0.02225$0.55
08:51:39BUYNo0.97815$14.67
10:40:13SELLYes0.0225$0.12
10:36:04SELLYes0.02221$0.46
12:12:42SELLYes0.02527$0.67
15:00:04BUYNo0.97523$22.58
04:27:16SELLNo0.97130$29.13
21:57:28SELLYes0.0297881356118$3.52
11:03:13BUYYes0.0317742494133$4.22
11:03:02BUYYes0.03153$1.64
09:01:32SELLYes0.0251$0.03