natalya.
0x23e033a2d33400e6a4b7608a24d58e1338f2d439
- Realised P&L
- $-43.37
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $207.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the WV-02 House seat? · Yes | 0.947 | 0.965 | $54.48 | +$1.02 |
| Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.981 | 0.973 | $54.39 | −$0.45 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · No | 0.984 | 0.974 | $50.62 | −$0.55 |
| Will Clavicular be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? · No | 0.981 | 0.970 | $48.48 | −$0.57 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.20at 0.940Will Loopscale launch a token by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.89at 0.920Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
- +$1.60at 0.968Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
- +$1.06at 0.975Tucker Carlson federally charged?
- +$0.50at 0.950Will Valve remove Inferno from the Map Pool?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-20 08:23 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999983 | $21.73 |