borisanimal
0x280d83da322a582e3e4b1d33930ced4b9d839faa
- Realised P&L
- $12.26
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $276.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the VA-08 House seat? · No | 0.974 | 0.991 | $61.68 | +$1.06 |
| Will the Republican Party win the VA-04 House seat? · No | 0.981 | 0.986 | $59.12 | +$0.27 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-13 House seat? · Yes | 0.972 | 0.980 | $52.21 | +$0.40 |
| Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027? · No | 0.976 | 0.977 | $51.94 | +$0.05 |
| Will the Republican Party win the WI-04 House seat? · No | 0.986 | 0.976 | $51.73 | −$0.53 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.65at 0.967Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
- +$1.65at 0.967Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?
- +$1.61at 0.930Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
- +$1.48at 0.940Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
- +$0.83at 0.984Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-20 11:44 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999588 | $21.45 |