ma99
0x6c3789734ebd5c9494932e4936b7cc20cfdcd40f
- Realised P&L
- $2.2k
- Volume
- $5.35M
- Markets traded
- 7,943
- Open portfolio
- $479.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,943
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$187.57at 0.011Will the median home value in New York City be between $575,000 and $580,000 on April 1?
- +$132.97at 0.080Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
- +$122.77at 0.055Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?
- +$106.43at 0.011Will Pam Bondi be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
- +$98.30at 0.016Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 18:00 | Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | BUY | 0.02 | $2.00 |
| 07-20 17:15 | Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 06-25 06:11 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.051 | $5.10 |
| 06-23 21:44 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.027 | $2.70 |
| 06-05 23:39 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 05-28 19:43 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.011 | $1.10 |
| 05-26 17:01 | Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.011 | $1.10 |
| 05-19 16:31 | Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | BUY | 0.08 | $0.52 |
| 05-14 06:47 | Will GTA 6 cost $100+? | BUY | 0.08 | $8.00 |
| 05-14 04:51 | Will Trump Leave China on May 15? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 05-14 00:22 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.05 |
| 05-13 19:39 | Will Romania win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.0359032 | $3.59 |
| 05-13 17:33 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 05-13 11:14 | Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.34 |
| 05-12 20:41 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | BUY | 0.012 | $1.20 |