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Traders

ma99

0x6c3789734ebd5c9494932e4936b7cc20cfdcd40f

Realised P&L
$2.2k
Volume
$5.35M
Markets traded
7,943
Open portfolio
$479.46

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded7,943
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? · Yes0.0800.290$21.39+$15.49
Will Warren Buffett be 2nd richest person on December 31? · Yes0.0030.189$18.90+$18.60
USD1 depeg by December 31? · Yes0.0400.165$16.50+$12.50
Will Mark Zuckerberg be 3rd richest person on December 31? · Yes0.0020.365$14.84+$14.76
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.0800.115$11.50+$3.50
Will OpenAI raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO? · Yes0.0030.111$11.05+$10.75
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? · Yes0.0030.089$8.90+$8.60
XRP all time high by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0340.056$8.65+$3.33
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.5%? · Yes0.0200.117$8.19+$6.79
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.105$6.84+$1.63
Justin & Hailey Bieber split in 2026? · Yes0.0800.080$6.54−$0.04
Will Aster reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.059$6.40−$0.05
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? · Yes0.0400.505$6.36+$5.85
Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.0230.056$6.16+$3.59
Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026? · Yes0.0230.059$5.90+$3.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 18:00Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?BUY0.02$2.00
07-20 17:15Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?BUY0.01$1.00
06-25 06:11Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.051$5.10
06-23 21:44Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.027$2.70
06-05 23:39Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.04$1.00
05-28 19:43Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.011$1.10
05-26 17:01Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.011$1.10
05-19 16:31Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY0.08$0.52
05-14 06:47Will GTA 6 cost $100+?BUY0.08$8.00
05-14 04:51Will Trump Leave China on May 15?BUY0.01$1.00
05-14 00:22Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?SELL0.006$0.05
05-13 19:39Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.0359032$3.59
05-13 17:33Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?BUY0.05$5.00
05-13 11:14Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.01$0.34
05-12 20:41Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?BUY0.012$1.20
Trader ma99 · PolyBot Pro