eestiburns
0xf49cc39909c5849f2b07dbe5c2901273ca98c583
- Realised P&L
- $8.37
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $159.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the WI-04 House seat? · No | 0.986 | 0.987 | $51.30 | +$0.03 |
| Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup? · No | 0.984 | 0.974 | $50.62 | −$0.55 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-52 House seat? · Yes | 0.957 | 0.959 | $49.84 | +$0.06 |
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-38 House seat? · No | 0.993 | 0.995 | $7.30 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.35at 0.973Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?
- +$1.27at 0.976Will Spain score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.13at 0.979Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?
- +$0.95at 0.966Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the May Meeting?
- +$0.70at 0.987Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-15 08:57 | Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in May 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.9719999998 | $20.39 |