PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

easy-going2

0xd2ce74a6d85872733ceb5fc44ca00a8f7d9ae6c8

Realised P&L
$-1.3k
Volume
$58.6k
Markets traded
1,330
Open portfolio
$217.14

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,330
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration10.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lisa Kearns win the 2026 Burlington mayoral election? · Yes0.0330.090$3.82+$2.42
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-05 House election by 55%-60%? · Yes0.0170.050$3.11+$2.06
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee be between 1,600,000 and 1,800,000? · Yes0.0280.058$2.16+$1.11
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Jersey Senate election by 0%-3%? · Yes0.0110.021$2.00+$0.95
First Round Outright Winner in the LA-02 House Election? · No0.0210.038$1.93+$0.88
Will the Republican Party win the PA-14 House seat? · No0.0310.038$1.74+$0.34
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election by 10%-15%? · Yes0.0420.041$1.71−$0.04
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-27 House seat? · No0.0320.037$1.64+$0.24
Will Mike Hurley win the 2026 Burnaby mayoral election? · No0.0290.048$1.63+$0.63
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-13 House seat? · No0.0400.036$1.57−$0.18
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-32 House seat? · No0.0440.040$1.57−$0.18
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Jersey Senate election by 0%-3%? · Yes0.0350.037$1.50+$0.10
Will Democrats win fewer than 2 House seats in Wisconsin in the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0250.026$1.48+$0.08
Will Ron Nirenberg win the 2026 Bexar County Judge election? · No0.0300.043$1.45+$0.45
Cornell President out by October 31? · Yes0.0340.035$1.44+$0.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 09:07Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Idaho Senate election?SELL0.012$0.03
10-15 09:07Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-03 House election by 0%-25%?SELL0.0110619118$0.89
10-15 09:07Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-05 House election by 15%-25%?SELL0.0103299967$0.94
10-15 08:27Will the Republican Party win the IL-11 House seat?BUY0.0319934365$1.00
10-15 08:27Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?BUY0.0261899447$1.00
10-15 08:27Will the Republican Party win the OH-02 House seat?BUY0.0329999992$1.00
10-15 08:27Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-21 House election by 30% or more?BUY0.0294117647$1.00
10-15 08:27Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?BUY0.0213592232$1.00
10-15 08:27Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Idaho Senate election?BUY0.0333651092$1.00
10-15 08:27Will the Republican Party win the NJ-12 House seat?BUY0.0281007751$1.00
10-15 08:27Will the Republican Party win the TX-30 House seat?BUY0.0299999994$1.00
10-15 08:27Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-18 House election by 0%-35%?BUY0.032$1.00
10-15 08:27Will the Republican Party win the NY-09 House seat?BUY0.0299999994$1.00
10-15 08:27Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MT-01 House election by 12% or more?BUY0.025$1.00
10-15 08:27Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?BUY0.025$1.00