easy-going2
0xd2ce74a6d85872733ceb5fc44ca00a8f7d9ae6c8
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $58.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,330
- Open portfolio
- $217.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,330
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$58.58at 0.414Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
- +$57.66at 0.423Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
- +$57.11at 0.429Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
- +$57.05at 0.429Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
- +$56.29at 0.437Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 09:07 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Idaho Senate election? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.03 |
| 10-15 09:07 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-03 House election by 0%-25%? | SELL | 0.0110619118 | $0.89 |
| 10-15 09:07 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-05 House election by 15%-25%? | SELL | 0.0103299967 | $0.94 |
| 10-15 08:27 | Will the Republican Party win the IL-11 House seat? | BUY | 0.0319934365 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 08:27 | Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.0261899447 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 08:27 | Will the Republican Party win the OH-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.0329999992 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 08:27 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-21 House election by 30% or more? | BUY | 0.0294117647 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 08:27 | Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.0213592232 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 08:27 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Idaho Senate election? | BUY | 0.0333651092 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 08:27 | Will the Republican Party win the NJ-12 House seat? | BUY | 0.0281007751 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 08:27 | Will the Republican Party win the TX-30 House seat? | BUY | 0.0299999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 08:27 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-18 House election by 0%-35%? | BUY | 0.032 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 08:27 | Will the Republican Party win the NY-09 House seat? | BUY | 0.0299999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 08:27 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MT-01 House election by 12% or more? | BUY | 0.025 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 08:27 | Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.025 | $1.00 |