PolyBot

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Will the Republican Party win the IL-16 House seat?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-04
Resolves by
https://www.fec.gov/

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.969. up 0.012 over the period, from 0.957. Range 0.957 to 0.971. 152 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9721414
0.9792034
0.98092126
0.984634760
0.9866271,387
0.987501,437
0.988921,529
0.9951631,693
0.9965682,261
0.9979253,186
0.9981,7884,974
0.9993,0588,032

Spread0.007Mid0.968

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9652020
0.96490110
0.96142152
0.95050202
0.94918220
0.94855275
0.931100375
0.9301,0001,375
0.9261821,557
0.9254912,048
0.8655002,548
0.7656063,153

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0352020
0.03690110
0.03942152
0.05050202
0.05118220
0.05255275
0.069100375
0.0701,0001,375
0.0741821,557
0.0754912,048
0.1355002,548
0.2356063,153

Spread0.007Mid0.032

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0281414
0.0212034
0.02092126
0.016634760
0.0146271,387
0.013501,437
0.012921,529
0.0051631,693
0.0045682,261
0.0039253,186
0.0021,7884,974
0.0013,0588,032

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
TrangNgoYes2,305.77
0xE41adDdfD269f811c8dc173237eD8C4F213d29bD-1786041153188Yes1,596.41
SitsToPeeYes625
ndb1Yes390
lonehighwayYes100
0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938Yes49
wqeewqeadawfawfwaYes35
VollhorstYes22.6
0xDbBFAEA6763c8Fc9C3Ea2bb27a61ba29b7D0Fb9F-1740101888127Yes14.25
ABC12345654321Yes14
0xa5ef…2966No3,613.85
Dr.PNLNo580.69
Digital-BoyNo350.85
GUINESS123No198
GuyFromTinderNo100
richyeeNo50
Numitus1994No42
xtxpleasecallmeNo33.43
NEXEN1No32.74
cigarettesNo32

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
19:23:54BUYYes0.962999999614$13.72
05:50:45BUYNo0.04214$0.59
02:50:00SELLYes0.9531125184$175.37
11:21:44BUYYes0.963999999868$65.24
10:51:47SELLYes0.95475$71.82
00:50:47SELLNo0.03720$0.74
12:56:45BUYYes0.9629309093143$137.70
12:32:00BUYYes0.964100$96.40
14:39:02BUYNo0.0545$2.25
03:15:44SELLNo0.039100$3.90
03:15:39SELLNo0.03820$0.76
03:15:38SELLNo0.038100$3.80
03:15:36SELLNo0.0445200$8.90
03:15:32BUYYes0.955120$114.60
03:15:30BUYYes0.954999998829$27.72
03:15:30BUYYes0.95560$57.30
03:15:30BUYYes0.954999999341$38.80
03:15:30BUYYes0.94451699461,118$1055.97
03:15:30BUYYes0.95520$19.10
03:15:30BUYYes0.95580$76.40
03:15:29BUYYes0.950428571470$66.53
02:08:53SELLYes0.946166$156.80
21:47:17BUYNo0.04174489898$4.09
18:28:30BUYNo0.0375$0.18
19:05:27BUYNo0.0365$0.18