0xE41adDdfD269f811c8dc173237eD8C4F213d29bD-1786041153188
0xe41adddfd269f811c8dc173237ed8c4f213d29bd
- Realised P&L
- $792.74
- Volume
- $324.3k
- Markets traded
- 248
- Open portfolio
- $158.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded248
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$331.98at 0.170Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
- +$217.02at 0.960Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$180.00at 0.650Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$159.86at 0.826Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
- +$140.40at 0.532Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 17:45 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September? | BUY | 0.997 | $498.50 |
| 09-29 17:43 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.976 | $273.03 |
| 09-29 17:17 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.3 | $172.99 |
| 09-29 17:08 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.75 | $750.00 |
| 09-29 09:30 | Trump renames AI by October 31? | BUY | 0.66 | $6.40 |
| 09-29 09:29 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.245 | $20.44 |
| 09-29 09:26 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? | BUY | 0.952 | $93.65 |
| 09-29 09:23 | Israel military action against Yemen by September 30? | BUY | 0.986 | $18.27 |
| 09-29 09:20 | Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m? | BUY | 0.735 | $18.38 |
| 09-29 09:04 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? | BUY | 0.46 | $2.30 |
| 09-29 09:04 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? | BUY | 0.47 | $2.95 |
| 09-29 08:59 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9676153093 | $514.10 |
| 09-28 21:42 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9698979537 | $1.8k |
| 09-28 19:34 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $345.60 |
| 09-28 19:33 | Houthis seize an oil tanker by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9850929902 | $325.33 |