PolyBot

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Will the Republican Party win the CA-02 House seat?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-04
Resolves by
https://www.fec.gov/

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.009. up 0.001 over the period, from 0.008. Range 0.006 to 0.011. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0142222
0.0155072
0.0172092
0.01940132
0.02020152
0.02130182
0.02215197
0.024107304
0.03045349
0.03118367
0.033105472
0.037100572

Spread0.011Mid0.009

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0037070
0.002453523
0.0015691,092

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9977070
0.998453523
0.9995691,092

Spread0.011Mid0.992

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9862222
0.9855072
0.9832092
0.98140132
0.98020152
0.97930182
0.97815197
0.976107304
0.97045349
0.96918367
0.967105472
0.963100572

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
AnjunYes1,111
RolandZhangYes592
LornaPredictsYes231
Dr.PNLYes200
xtxpleasecallmeYes63.99
thecaricatureYes60
planktonXDYes50
OklmntraderYes50
sirjhow01Yes50
MustwinerYes50
Numitus1994Yes42
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.Yes40
Elias.ThornwellYes37.5
monkey-brainsYes23.64
0x1e7565263d17Bbf133E4aB9d8423Ec695FDd63F1-1776023416348Yes23
0xE85D8DDD47906a2f644908281C427c9176C84E7F-1791087052329Yes15
TENETENETYes10
triklozoidYes5
a5533Yes2
16r0obYes1.8

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
09:12:30BUYNo0.993532$31.79
00:17:15SELLNo0.9865$4.93
00:17:10BUYNo0.9915$4.96
00:16:58BUYNo0.9915$4.96
00:16:55BUYYes0.00915$0.13
00:16:54SELLYes0.0072$0.01
00:04:10BUYYes0.0075$0.04
20:02:07SELLNo0.9925$4.96
18:01:09SELLNo0.9925$4.96
12:24:21SELLNo0.9918$17.82
00:24:10SELLNo0.9876$5.92
11:44:45SELLYes0.0088$0.06
20:18:28SELLNo0.9875$4.93
01:09:45SELLNo0.9878$7.40
01:08:51SELLNo0.9878$7.40
01:01:21SELLNo0.9878$7.40
14:58:11SELLNo0.9878$7.40
18:47:56SELLNo0.9861$0.72
18:47:54SELLNo0.998196$195.65
09:01:44SELLNo0.9981$1.00
15:57:04SELLNo0.9985$4.99
15:56:07SELLNo0.9985$4.99
23:15:25SELLYes0.001118$0.12
23:11:55SELLYes0.002208$0.42
22:47:08SELLYes0.00499$0.40