PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1e7565263d17Bbf133E4aB9d8423Ec695FDd63F1-1776023416348

0x1e7565263d17bbf133e4ab9d8423ec695fdd63f1

Realised P&L
$-227.25
Volume
$183.4k
Markets traded
3,031
Open portfolio
$114.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,031
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration8.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OL Lyonnes win the 2026-27 UEFA Women's Champions League? · Yes0.1850.171$7.70−$0.62
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama Senate election by 15%-20%? · Yes0.4100.200$5.20−$5.46
Will Detroit Lions finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most offensive touchdowns? · Yes0.1860.230$3.36+$0.64
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-13 House election by 45%-50%? · Yes0.2400.235$3.23−$0.07
Will Jean Silva fight Lerone Murphy next? · Yes0.1800.155$3.10−$0.50
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-01 House election by 6%-9%? · Yes0.1710.125$2.50−$0.92
Will You Can See Everything win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.3900.360$2.16−$0.18
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Israeli Minister of National Security? · Yes0.1000.043$2.15−$2.85
Will Cheng Chao-fang win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election? · No0.4100.410$2.05+$0.00
Will Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? · Yes0.0300.028$2.04−$0.15
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine be between 750,000 and 800,000? · Yes0.1400.100$2.00−$0.80
Will Morgan Wallen have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? · Yes0.3700.320$1.92−$0.30
Will Republicans win white voters in the midterms? · No0.0800.095$1.90+$0.30
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AR-02 House election by 0%-5%? · Yes0.1930.093$1.86−$2.00
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election by 20%-25%? · Yes0.1700.130$1.82−$0.56

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 09:13Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?SELL0.071$0.01
11-01 08:05Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?SELL0.091$0.10
11-01 03:32Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?SELL0.03$0.01
10-31 15:22Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.045$0.11
10-31 09:15Will Erling Braut Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?SELL0.25$1.00
10-30 10:53Will the Republican Party win the OK-04 House seat?SELL0.058$0.01
10-30 10:23Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher?SELL0.35$0.16
10-30 06:19Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?SELL0.16$0.12
10-30 04:48Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania be 6,500,000 or more?SELL0.06$0.06
10-30 00:13Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?SELL0.27$1.00
10-29 22:41Will Louisville have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?SELL0.22$0.17
10-29 16:04Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?SELL0.24$0.12
10-28 21:20Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?SELL0.42$0.05
10-28 21:10Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-01 House election by 40%-45%?SELL0.3$0.84
10-28 19:09Will Meta be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?SELL0.17$0.03