PolyBot

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Traders

0xE85D8DDD47906a2f644908281C427c9176C84E7F-1791087052329

0xe85d8ddd47906a2f644908281c427c9176c84e7f

Realised P&L
$127.26
Volume
$715.00
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$338.01

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar17.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AR-02 House election by 5% or more? · No0.8930.930$69.75+$2.80
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AR-02 House election by 0%-5%? · No0.8950.860$64.50−$2.61
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-28 House election? · No0.9270.905$36.20−$0.87
Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-27 House election? · No0.9600.620$24.80−$13.60
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-11 House election? · No0.9830.628$22.00−$12.42
Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WA-06 House election? · No0.9690.620$21.70−$12.20
Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-21 House election by 0%-5%? · No0.9620.665$19.95−$8.90
Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-21 House election by 5% or more? · No0.9520.610$18.30−$10.25
Will the Republican Party win the AR-02 House seat? · No0.5000.180$13.50−$24.00
Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WA-08 House election by 0%-5%? · No0.9750.721$7.21−$2.54
Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-25 House election by 0%-5%? · No0.9850.663$6.63−$3.21
Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WA-08 House election by 5% or more? · No0.9810.634$6.34−$3.47
Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-25 House election by 5% or more? · No0.9400.620$6.20−$3.20
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-06 House election? · No0.9770.994$4.97+$0.08
Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-13 House election by 5% or more? · No0.9800.670$3.35−$1.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 20:19Will the Republican Party win the WA-06 House seat?SELL0.984$4.92
10-05 19:47Will the Republican Party win the CA-27 House seat?SELL0.973$4.87
10-05 19:47Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-27 House election?BUY0.96$4.80
10-05 19:46Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-27 House election?BUY0.96$4.80
10-05 19:46Will the Republican Party win the CA-27 House seat?SELL0.973$4.87
10-05 19:40Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-27 House election?BUY0.96$4.80
10-05 19:40Will the Republican Party win the CA-27 House seat?SELL0.973$4.87
10-05 19:39Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-27 House election?BUY0.96$4.80
10-05 19:39Will the Republican Party win the CA-27 House seat?SELL0.973$4.87
10-05 19:38Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-27 House election?BUY0.96$4.80
10-05 19:38Will the Republican Party win the CA-27 House seat?SELL0.973$4.87
10-05 19:37Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-27 House election?BUY0.96$4.80
10-05 19:37Will the Republican Party win the CA-27 House seat?SELL0.973$4.87
10-05 19:32Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-25 House election by 0%-5%?BUY0.985$4.92
10-05 19:32Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-25 House election by 5% or more?BUY0.94$4.70