PolyBot

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-08 House election by 5%-10%?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-03
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.41. up 0.27 over the period, from 0.14. Range 0.12 to 0.41. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.401515
0.41924
0.482044
0.492367
0.603097
0.619106
0.6450156
0.6660216
0.6740256
0.6930286
0.7045331
0.717338

Spread0.05Mid0.38

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.357575
0.2933108
0.211109
0.1740149
0.1620169
0.1525194
0.14111305
0.1021326
0.039335
0.0216351

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.657575
0.7133108
0.791109
0.8340149
0.8420169
0.8525194
0.86111305
0.9021326
0.979335
0.9816351

Spread0.05Mid0.63

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.601515
0.59924
0.522044
0.512367
0.403097
0.399106
0.3650156
0.3460216
0.3340256
0.3130286
0.3045331
0.297338

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
6548921Yes794.95
LornaPredictsYes60
tradetosurvive1Yes17
0x4629…f3b1Yes15
frontiertradeYes13.6
CheChe-0Yes10
lolzzzlolYes9
HaradwaithYes8.83
runes-leoYes8.2
winexecutescaleYes7
Dr.PNLNo314.19
0xa5ef…2966No273.83
AnjunNo111
AJSVNo56.06
0x00f79735D67E741fb2dB4cd623f6375326957fFNo45.7
predictdogepepewifNo40
resilience26No33
0x888888888No20
cigarettesNo20
smarterstratNo20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
10:17:52BUYNo0.6815$10.20
10:17:51BUYNo0.675$3.35
10:17:51BUYNo0.6715$10.05
10:17:51BUYNo0.6720$13.40
10:17:22BUYNo0.6717$11.39
10:17:22BUYNo0.6711$7.37
08:06:57SELLYes0.323$0.96
07:30:28BUYNo0.715$10.50
06:31:00BUYNo0.7810$7.80
06:31:00BUYNo0.7820$15.60
06:30:58BUYNo0.77310$7.73
04:53:06BUYNo0.7919$15.01
04:53:06BUYNo0.6420$12.80
04:33:21BUYNo0.6920$13.80
04:32:57SELLNo0.6920$13.80
04:26:57BUYYes0.2113$2.73
04:26:49BUYYes0.1630368963763$124.39
04:26:49BUYYes0.2120$4.20
08:56:33SELLNo0.846$5.04
01:14:21BUYNo0.723$2.02
17:31:34SELLNo0.696$4.14
14:34:46BUYNo0.726$4.32
11:36:54SELLYes0.2813$3.70
07:06:31SELLYes0.327$2.18
07:06:30SELLYes0.3220$6.40