PolyBot

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-04 House election by 15%-25%?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-03

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.011. down 0.184 over the period, from 0.195. Range 0.011 to 0.195. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0115050
0.0991060
0.1002181
0.110113194
0.12060254
0.12540294
0.20020314
0.22033347
0.44185432
0.4425437
0.44850487
0.449100587

Spread0.001Mid0.010

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.010480480
0.003180660
0.002300960
0.00129989

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.990480480
0.997180660
0.998300960
0.99929989

Spread0.001Mid0.990

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9895050
0.9011060
0.9002181
0.890113194
0.88060254
0.87540294
0.80020314
0.78033347
0.55985432
0.5585437
0.55250487
0.551100587

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
Dr.PNLYes338.97
shoobadooba18Yes60
frontiertradeYes60
a5533Yes50
LornaPredictsYes42.83
predictdogepepewifYes40
AJSVYes25.55
Numitus1994Yes21
monoclithYes20
FkMexicoYes20
bechamelYes20
PPMTYes15
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.Yes10
lidongyaoYes5
HaradwaithYes1
0xa5ef…2966No706.57
cigarettesNo19.86
eatMakerNo2.4

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
15:52:07SELLYes0.0120$0.20
19:30:06SELLYes0.016$0.06
00:12:40BUYNo0.977520$19.55
16:09:34BUYNo0.98820$19.76
14:54:30BUYNo0.98610$9.86
14:21:58BUYNo0.9865$4.93
21:20:12BUYNo0.9910$9.90
23:00:33BUYNo0.995$4.95
23:00:16SELLYes0.032406417137$1.21
23:00:15BUYNo0.8230324048620$510.26
03:44:27SELLNo0.811$0.41
15:36:42BUYNo0.8311$8.81
15:31:37BUYYes0.1611$1.70
15:31:36SELLNo0.8511$9.47
15:31:31SELLNo0.8531$26.35
01:00:30SELLYes0.1140$4.40
00:51:34BUYNo0.8910$8.90
00:26:07SELLYes0.1820$3.60
00:26:04BUYNo0.8221$17.22
00:25:55BUYNo0.8110$8.10
00:25:37SELLYes0.1920$3.80
00:25:24BUYNo0.8110$88.00
05:24:49BUYNo0.810$8.00
05:24:48BUYNo0.89$7.20
01:47:58BUYYes0.22999989417$1.65