PolyBot

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Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 26, 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-26

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.011. up 0.008 over the period, from 0.003. Range 0.002 to 0.011. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.01999
0.0201221
0.0505576
0.69385161
0.69410171
0.69645216
0.72110226
0.7235231
0.73523254
0.73820274
0.74040314
0.81134348

Spread0.017Mid0.010

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.002200200
0.001186386

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.998200200
0.999186386

Spread0.017Mid0.990

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.98199
0.9801221
0.9505576
0.30785161
0.30610171
0.30445216
0.27910226
0.2775231
0.26523254
0.26220274
0.26040314
0.18934348

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
balthazarYes1,600
LornaPredictsYes277
0xF03D13c94373E052a177601419291Ce2FAfE21Fb-1769526558724Yes57.55
0xe83c568e7b3C643a2787d8768F340a00FF0e0d7F-1768197654339Yes55.21
chainfishYes43.98
NoTeacherYes33
viniiYes28.18
AJSVYes25
LonelyScissorsYes18.27
jackli003Yes12
TENETENETYes10
kevinsdad1Yes8.79
triklozoidYes5
0xa5ef…2966No2,124.01
HE110W0R1DNo30
gavinfundaNo20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
22:54:54BUYYes0.00255$0.11
17:18:48SELLYes0.0012$0.00
14:54:04SELLYes0.0013$0.00
06:16:27BUYYes0.009848484833$0.32
06:06:09BUYNo0.9985$4.99
02:08:43BUYYes0.004583747328$0.13
02:02:34SELLYes0.0018$0.01
14:49:19SELLYes0.00151$0.05
10:49:07SELLYes0.00174$0.07
04:51:37SELLYes0.00135$0.04
17:55:25BUYNo0.9910$9.90
17:30:48BUYNo0.995$4.95
17:27:43SELLYes0.0192333333300$5.77
11:08:24BUYNo0.946$5.64
11:08:24BUYNo0.9410$9.40
11:08:21BUYNo0.975$5.05
21:31:04BUYNo0.979$8.73