PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xe83c568e7b3C643a2787d8768F340a00FF0e0d7F-1768197654339

0xe83c568e7b3c643a2787d8768f340a00ff0e0d7f

Realised P&L
$-15.68
Volume
$4.5k
Markets traded
220
Open portfolio
$98.78

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded220
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 22:54Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 26, 2026?BUY0.002$0.11
09-17 22:54Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 25, 2026?BUY0.002$0.12
09-17 22:52Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 29, 2026?BUY0.002$0.12
09-17 22:42Will there be no next Grok model (4.7+) release by September 30, 2026?BUY0.012$0.11
09-17 15:40Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 17, 2026?BUY0.6039998116$1.00
09-16 04:08Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?BUY0.59999988$1.00
09-16 04:08Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9$1.00
09-16 03:58Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?BUY0.7699999795$3.00
09-16 03:54Will AI solve the Hadwiger-Nelson problem in 2026?BUY0.74$1.00
09-16 03:54Will AI solve the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in 2026?BUY0.7$1.00
09-16 03:54Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
09-16 03:29Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31?BUY0.759999696$1.00
09-16 02:57Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
09-16 02:56Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?BUY0.4799998464$1.00
09-16 02:56Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?BUY0.7189998979$1.00