0xe83c568e7b3C643a2787d8768F340a00FF0e0d7F-1768197654339
0xe83c568e7b3c643a2787d8768f340a00ff0e0d7f
- Realised P&L
- $-15.68
- Volume
- $4.5k
- Markets traded
- 220
- Open portfolio
- $98.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded220
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.66at 0.133Exact Score: Ghana 1 - 0 Panama?
- +$6.02at 0.677Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?
- +$4.82at 0.558Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
- +$4.44at 0.410Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 15?
- +$4.35at 0.322Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 22:54 | Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.11 |
| 09-17 22:54 | Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.12 |
| 09-17 22:52 | Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.12 |
| 09-17 22:42 | Will there be no next Grok model (4.7+) release by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.012 | $0.11 |
| 09-17 15:40 | Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.6039998116 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 04:08 | Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 04:08 | Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 03:58 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999795 | $3.00 |
| 09-16 03:54 | Will AI solve the Hadwiger-Nelson problem in 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 03:54 | Will AI solve the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 03:54 | Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 03:29 | Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 02:57 | Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 02:56 | Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 02:56 | Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? | BUY | 0.7189998979 | $1.00 |