0xe83c568e7b3C643a2787d8768F340a00FF0e0d7F-1768197654339
0xe83c568e7b3c643a2787d8768f340a00ff0e0d7f
- Realised P&L
- $4.75
- Volume
- $6.6k
- Markets traded
- 294
- Open portfolio
- $107.89
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded294
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration73.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
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- +$4.82at 0.558Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
- +$4.44at 0.410Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 21:24 | Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 21:23 | Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? | BUY | 0.6889999097 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 21:23 | Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 42% or higher? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 21:23 | Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 21:15 | Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 42% or higher? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 21:15 | Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899996964 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 21:12 | Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699996918 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 00:08 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.997 | $2.83 |
| 10-26 00:08 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.998 | $5.78 |
| 10-25 22:53 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7039999183 | $2.00 |
| 10-25 22:52 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6899999345 | $4.00 |
| 10-25 22:52 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.323 | $0.45 |
| 10-25 22:52 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.327 | $0.48 |
| 10-25 21:10 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 21:05 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6719996559 | $1.00 |