chainfish
0xeda6361c4592c1af6b2a82ed49add4a94d2565eb
- Realised P&L
- $154.75
- Volume
- $98.2k
- Markets traded
- 234
- Open portfolio
- $25.90
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded234
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration91.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$101.64at 0.172Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
- +$95.50at 0.020Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?
- +$83.98at 0.012USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$39.00at 0.025USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?
- +$13.71at 0.180Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 18:11 | Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $19.94 |
| 09-16 02:28 | Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 27, 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.25 |
| 09-16 02:27 | Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.31 |
| 09-15 13:34 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting? | SELL | 0.024 | $0.19 |
| 09-15 12:37 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.12 |
| 09-15 12:34 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.12 |
| 09-15 12:34 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.03 |
| 09-12 13:47 | Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in September 2026? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.33 |
| 09-12 11:30 | Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.10 |
| 09-12 06:14 | Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in September 2026? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.16 |
| 09-10 10:40 | LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 09-10 06:43 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.08 |
| 09-10 06:36 | LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.038 | $0.67 |
| 09-10 04:47 | LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.043 | $1.29 |
| 09-10 04:47 | LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.045 | $1.35 |