PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

chainfish

0xeda6361c4592c1af6b2a82ed49add4a94d2565eb

Realised P&L
$154.75
Volume
$98.2k
Markets traded
234
Open portfolio
$25.90

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded234
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration91.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 18:11Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 30, 2026?BUY0.997$19.94
09-16 02:28Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 27, 2026?SELL0.01$0.25
09-16 02:27Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 25, 2026?SELL0.01$0.31
09-15 13:34Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?SELL0.024$0.19
09-15 12:37Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?SELL0.006$0.12
09-15 12:34Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?SELL0.006$0.12
09-15 12:34Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?SELL0.006$0.03
09-12 13:47Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in September 2026?SELL0.011$0.33
09-12 11:30Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 21, 2026?SELL0.011$0.10
09-12 06:14Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in September 2026?SELL0.008$0.16
09-10 10:40LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?SELL0.001$0.05
09-10 06:43Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?SELL0.002$0.08
09-10 06:36LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.038$0.67
09-10 04:47LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.043$1.29
09-10 04:47LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.045$1.35