kevinsdad1
0x2aebd958fed5aff24d3b63fddc0a4696ed8a357e
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $192.6k
- Markets traded
- 3,541
- Open portfolio
- $90.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,541
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$67.46at 0.006Will the CAQ win 5-9 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?
- +$40.27at 0.028Will Deandre Ayton play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?
- +$35.46at 0.016Will Adelaide City win on 2026-10-08?
- +$34.08at 0.087Will Folarin Balogun join Everton?
- +$29.82at 0.0251win to win 2-0?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 11:10 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 1,200,000 and 1,275,000? | SELL | 0.102 | $0.29 |
| 11-02 08:38 | Will Samuel Basallo win the 2026 Edgar Martinez Outstanding Designated Hitter Award? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.04 |
| 11-01 21:20 | Will NK Osijek win on 2026-11-08? | SELL | 0.2 | $0.10 |
| 11-01 17:05 | Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs BARCA (BO3) - FiReSPORTS Last Chance Playoffs | SELL | 0.21 | $2.64 |
| 11-01 14:04 | Will Grüne be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government? | SELL | 0.104 | $0.02 |
| 10-31 22:17 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 1,200,000 and 1,275,000? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.08 |
| 10-31 01:34 | Florida Gulf Coast Eagles vs. UCF Knights | SELL | 0.04 | $0.20 |
| 10-30 16:08 | Turkish troops enter Yemen by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.11 |
| 10-30 06:04 | Will the Republican Party win the SC-07 House seat? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.39 |
| 10-29 08:05 | Stetson Hatters vs. Clemson Tigers | SELL | 0.05 | $0.24 |
| 10-28 13:28 | Will Linke be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government? | SELL | 0.033 | $0.12 |
| 10-27 20:44 | Will PSOE win the most seats in Tarragona in the 2026 Spanish general election? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.19 |
| 10-26 06:31 | Will PP win the most seats in Cantabria in the 2026 Spanish general election? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.28 |
| 10-26 00:53 | W15 Singapore: Aditi Rawat vs Amodini Naik | SELL | 0.17 | $1.21 |
| 10-25 16:36 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.02 |