kevinsdad1
0x2aebd958fed5aff24d3b63fddc0a4696ed8a357e
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $147.0k
- Markets traded
- 2,835
- Open portfolio
- $215.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,835
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.2kat 0.001Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on August 31, 2026?
- +$391.79at 0.003Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.50 and $0.55 on August 31, 2026?
- +$210.24at 0.003Will "The Odyssey" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14.5m?
- +$184.61at 0.001Will Club Portugalete win on 2026-08-08?
- +$183.33at 0.003Will "Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 20:47 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts be between 2,200,000 and 2,350,000? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.04 |
| 09-17 17:17 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-24 House election by 0%-3%? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.02 |
| 09-17 17:17 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-02 House election by 45% or more? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.03 |
| 09-17 17:17 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 UT-01 House election by 10%-15%? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.04 |
| 09-17 16:24 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-02 House election by 0%-5%? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.03 |
| 09-17 16:24 | Will Tencent be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.07 |
| 09-17 16:24 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts be less than 2,200,000? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.04 |
| 09-17 16:24 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 33% and 36% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.027 | $0.09 |
| 09-17 16:24 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-01 House election? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.05 |
| 09-17 16:24 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-02 House election by 40%-45%? | SELL | 0.023 | $0.01 |
| 09-17 16:24 | Will SDA win the third most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.01 |
| 09-17 16:24 | Will Chico Rodrigues win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.07 |
| 09-17 16:24 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-08 House election by 30%-35%? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.06 |
| 09-17 16:24 | Will Matěj Gregor be the next Mayor of Ostrava? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.07 |
| 09-16 18:14 | Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.56 |