PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

kevinsdad1

0x2aebd958fed5aff24d3b63fddc0a4696ed8a357e

Realised P&L
$1.3k
Volume
$147.0k
Markets traded
2,835
Open portfolio
$215.24

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,835
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will FC Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia vs. PFC CSKA Sofia end in a draw? · Yes0.1080.445$34.71+$26.29
SC Cambuur to win the second half? · Yes0.3330.495$28.71+$9.38
Bologna FC vs. SC Cambuur: Second half draw? · Yes0.3330.495$28.71+$9.38
Will PFC CSKA Sofia win on 2026-08-23? · No0.0200.435$16.99+$16.21
Will FC Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia win on 2026-08-23? · Yes0.0100.470$14.10+$13.80
Will ADT win Peru Liga 1? · Yes0.0100.440$7.33+$7.16
Will Kalmar FF finish 3rd in the 2026 Allsvenskan (Sweden)? · Yes0.0100.470$5.18+$5.07
Will Degerfors IF finish 3rd in the 2026 Allsvenskan (Sweden)? · Yes0.0100.445$4.90+$4.79
Will Halmstads BK finish 3rd in the 2026 Allsvenskan (Sweden)? · Yes0.0100.445$4.90+$4.79
Will Örgryte IS finish 3rd in the 2026 Allsvenskan (Sweden)? · Yes0.0100.435$4.79+$4.68
Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 21, 2026? · Yes0.0090.236$4.26+$4.09
Bologna FC to win the second half? · No0.0110.495$4.12+$4.03
Independiente Santa Fe vs. Jaguares de Córdoba FC: Draw at halftime? · Yes0.3330.495$3.96+$1.29
Jaguares de Córdoba FC leading at halftime? · Yes0.3330.495$3.96+$1.29
Will SC Lourel win on 2026-08-30? · Yes0.0010.010$3.56+$3.21

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 20:47Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts be between 2,200,000 and 2,350,000?SELL0.005$0.04
09-17 17:17Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-24 House election by 0%-3%?SELL0.006$0.02
09-17 17:17Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-02 House election by 45% or more?SELL0.007$0.03
09-17 17:17Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 UT-01 House election by 10%-15%?SELL0.008$0.04
09-17 16:24Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-02 House election by 0%-5%?SELL0.005$0.03
09-17 16:24Will Tencent be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?SELL0.004$0.07
09-17 16:24Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts be less than 2,200,000?SELL0.005$0.04
09-17 16:24Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 33% and 36% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.027$0.09
09-17 16:24Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-01 House election?SELL0.008$0.05
09-17 16:24Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-02 House election by 40%-45%?SELL0.023$0.01
09-17 16:24Will SDA win the third most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?SELL0.007$0.01
09-17 16:24Will Chico Rodrigues win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?SELL0.008$0.07
09-17 16:24Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-08 House election by 30%-35%?SELL0.004$0.06
09-17 16:24Will Matěj Gregor be the next Mayor of Ostrava?SELL0.01$0.07
09-16 18:14Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?SELL0.09$0.56